- The Tennessee Volunteers are a -7.5 point favorite vs. the Auburn Tigers
- Auburn vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Auburn (3-1) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Tennessee Volunteers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-102).
The Auburn vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Auburn vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Auburn | +7.5 -130 | 54.5 -112 | +230 |
| Tennessee | -7.5 -102 | 54.5 -105 | -285 |
Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 63.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Auburn Tigers and the Tennessee Volunteers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Auburn vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Auburn Best Bets Today
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 2% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets Today
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 0% ROI)
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn Tigers is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI).
- Auburn is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.56% ROI
- Auburn is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI
- Auburn is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee Volunteers is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -3.45% ROI).
- Tennessee is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Tennessee is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Auburn was 1-4 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Tennessee
Tennessee’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 202 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s TEs had 59 receptions in 13 games (4.5 per game) last season — T-2nd-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed 19.8 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee gained 3,807 yards on 292 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Auburn’s TEs had 26 receptions in 12 games (just 2.2 per game) last season — worst among SEC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 22.4 receptions per game last season — T-2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Auburn’s WRs averaged 23.6 targets per game last season — 27th-highest among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 14.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs averaged 23.6 targets per game last season — 2nd-highest among SEC WRs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 14.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 17.8 receptions (303 Rec/17 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.5
Auburn TEs had no touchdowns on 26 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Auburn WRs picked up first downs on 5 receptions on 3rd down last week– most among SEC Teams
Auburn TEs were targeted 3.5 times per game (42/12) last season– lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 5.8
Auburn TEs have averaged just 2.4 receptions per game (38/16) since the 2024 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee WRs averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (244 yards/26 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5
Tennessee have not been sacked (63 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.9
Tennessee’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 202 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (288 yards / 31 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Tennessee WRs averaged just 4.4 yards per target (244 yards/56 targets) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 8.3
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn has allowed opponents to catch just 12 of 32 passes (38% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best in the SEC; Average: 60%
Auburn has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 4 of 10 carries (40%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 15%
Auburn allowed no passing TDs (34 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the SEC; Average: 22.6
Auburn did not allow any touchdowns on 22 completions last week– T-best in the SEC; Average: 14.3
The Auburn defense has allowed scores on 35% of opponent drives (6/17) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 23%
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee sacked opposing QBs on 32% of pass attempts (6/19) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Tennessee has allowed one passing TD (115 pass attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 22.1
Tennessee has allowed one touchdown on 73 completions this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Tennessee has allowed one passing TD (115 pass attempts) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 26.5
Tennessee has allowed one passing TD (115 pass attempts) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.6
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