Boise State vs Washington State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

(AP Photo/Ted S. Warren)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The Boise State Broncos are a -13.5 point favorite vs. the Washington State Cougars
  • Boise State vs. Washington State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: USA

Boise State (5-1) visit Gesa Field at Martin Stadium to take on Washington State (1-6) on Oct. 24 in Pullman, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The Boise State Broncos are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-108).

The Boise State vs. Washington State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-13.5 -10850.5 -105-525
Washington State +13.5 -12550.5 -130+400

Boise State vs Washington State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 72.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Boise State Broncos and the Washington State Cougars, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boise State vs Washington State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise State Broncos is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.2% ROI).

  • Boise State is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 7.64% ROI
  • Boise State is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.88 Units / 58.79% ROI
  • Boise State is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.52 Units / -68.48% ROI

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington State Cougars is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Washington State is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -100% ROI
  • Washington State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Washington State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best in FBS; Average: .429

Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Boise State was 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Washington State is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .241

Washington State is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– 38th-worst in FBS; Average: .492

Washington State was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Washington State is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. Washington State

Washington State’s WRs had 174 receptions in 13 games (13.4 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Boise State’s defense allowed just 9.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State had 261 receptions in 13 games (20.1 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 skill players. Boise State’s defense allowed just 15.5 receptions per game last season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State had 261 receptions in 13 games (20.1 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 skill players. Boise State’s defense allowed just 15.5 receptions per game last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Boise State’s WRs had 157 receptions in 14 games (just 11.2 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Washington State’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s WRs averaged 15.1 yards after the catch last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Washington State’s defense allowed just 9.6 RAC last season — T-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Boise State averaged 12.5 yards after the catch last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 skill players. Washington State’s defense allowed just 9.6 RAC last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs rushed for 15 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Boise State have thrown 13 TDs and no interceptions this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.5

Boise State have not been intercepted (166 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 44.7

Boise State’s WRs had 157 receptions in 14 games (just 11.2 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Washington State’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State’s WRs had 174 receptions in 13 games (13.4 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Boise State’s defense allowed just 9.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 28.6 receptions (143 Rec/5 TDs) this season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Washington State have thrown 5 TDs on 228 pass attempts (one TD every 45.6 Pass Attempts) this season– 7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.7

Washington State RBs have been targeted 20 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Washington State had 261 receptions in 13 games (20.1 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 skill players. Boise State’s defense allowed just 15.5 receptions per game last season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State has not forced a fumble (144 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.2

Boise State has no interceptions (66 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 34.7

Boise State has no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.9

Washington State Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State allowed 321.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 138.1

Washington State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (10 completions/28 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

Washington State has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.2

Washington State allowed 321.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 140.1

Washington State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 15 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.


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