Boston College vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• The Duke Blue Devils are a -7 point favorite vs. the Boston College Eagles
• Boston College vs. Duke Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
• TV Channel: CW

Boston College (4-3) visit Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium to take on Duke (5-2) on Oct. 31 in Durham, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Duke Blue Devils are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-112).

The Boston College vs. Duke Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Boston College vs Duke Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Boston College Eagles and the Duke Blue Devils, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boston College vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Boston College Best Bets Today

• Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Boston College have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.72 Units / 39% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.42 Units / 19% ROI)

Duke Best Bets Today

• Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• Duke has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• Duke have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.48 Units / 16% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College Eagles is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.82 Units / 36.72% ROI).

• Boston College is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 30.77% ROI
• Boston College is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.42 Units / -44.88% ROI
• Boston College is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 35.99% ROI

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke Blue Devils is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.78 Units / 36.01% ROI).

• Duke is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 12.17% ROI
• Duke is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.25% ROI
• Duke is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.67 Units / 8.67% ROI

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Boston College is 5-8 (.385) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685

Boston College is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .507

Boston College is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467

Boston College is 4-11 (.267) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Duke was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Duke is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .678

Duke was 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Duke is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709

Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. Duke

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense allowed 255.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Duke’s offense threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense allowed 255.7 passing yards per game last season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Duke’s WRs averaged 23.4 targets per game last season — T-28th-highest among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Boston College’s offense threw for 3,362 passing yards in 12 games (280.2 YPG) last season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 276.8 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s WRs gained 2,188 yards on 162 receptions (13.5 YPR) last season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boston College’s WRs gained 2,188 yards on 162 receptions (13.5 YPR) last season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses

Boston College Skill Players have averaged 25.5 yards per reception (280 yards/11 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Boston College WRs have averaged 27.9 yards per reception (251 yards/9 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2

Boston College’s offense threw for 3,362 passing yards in 12 games (280.2 YPG) last season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 276.8 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Duke have 9 interceptions on 724 attempts (1 INT per 80.4 attempts) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 41.5

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense allowed 255.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Duke have thrown 5.1 Passing TDs per Interception (46 passing TDs/9 interceptions) since the 2024 season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2

Duke have been sacked just once on 58 pass attempts on 3rd down this season– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10.7

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has not recorded a sack (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.5

Boston College had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (7 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Boston College had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (16 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Duke has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Duke has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.1

Duke has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.0

Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (16 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 63%

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