Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• The Western Michigan Broncos are a -14 point favorite vs. the Bowling
• Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
• TV Channel: CBSN

Bowling Green (2-6) visit Waldo Stadium to take on Western Michigan (5-3) on Oct. 31 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Western Michigan Broncos are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -14 (-102).

The Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

Bet now on Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bowling and the Western Michigan Broncos, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling and all games with BetMGM

Bowling Green Best Bets Today

• Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Western Michigan Best Bets Today

• Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.78 Units / 36% ROI)
• Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.47% ROI).

• Bowling Green is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -25% ROI
• Bowling Green is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.28% ROI
• Bowling Green is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.62 Units / -52.38% ROI

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Michigan Broncos is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.52 Units / -28.41% ROI).

• Western Michigan is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.85% ROI
• Western Michigan is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Western Michigan is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Bowling Green is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .555

Bowling Green is winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .444

Bowling Green is 2-6 (.250) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .510

Bowling Green is 5-12 (.294) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .632

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Western Michigan is 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .648

Western Michigan is 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .613

Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan

Western Michigan’s WRs has 290 receptions in 35 games (just 8.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-6th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Western Michigan has 514 receptions in 35 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Western Michigan has 514 receptions in 35 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green’s QBs threw for 1,642 passing yards in 11 games (just 149.3 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 179.9 passing yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green had just 155.9 receiving yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 179.9 receiving yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green’s WRs has 211 receptions in 32 games (just 6.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green TEs were targeted 13.5 times per game (176/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Bowling Green TEs had 26 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 28 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green TEs have 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green TEs averaged 9.8 receptions per game (128/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan completed passes for 40+ yards on 2 of their 29 total passing attempts (7%) last week– T-11th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

Western Michigan have averaged just 8.6 yards per completion (561 yards/65 completions) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8

Western Michigan WRs averaged a touchdown every 28.2 receptions (113 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (308 yards/35 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Western Michigan RBs have averaged just 3.8 Yards per Carry (554 yards/146 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (45 completions/60 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Bowling Green has allowed opponents to catch 45 of 58 passes (78% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Bowling Green has allowed opponents to catch 45 of 58 passes (78% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (45 completions/60 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Bowling Green did not record a sack (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (62/622) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Western Michigan allowed 6 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-most in FBS

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (62/622) since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan allowed 18 first down receptions last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Western Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 30 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

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