BYU vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The BYU Cougars are a -18 point favorite vs. the Colorado State Rams
• BYU vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: CBS

BYU (2-0) visit Canvas Stadium to take on Colorado State (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The BYU Cougars are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -18 (-105).

The BYU vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

BYU vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the BYU Cougars and the Colorado State Rams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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BYU Best Bets Today

• BYU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• BYU have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• BYU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Colorado State Best Bets Today

• Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.59 Units / 16% ROI)
• Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.30 Units / 14% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU Cougars is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 85.11% ROI).

• BYU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 39.22% ROI
• BYU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• BYU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State Rams is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 91.74% ROI).

• Colorado State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 13.99% ROI
• Colorado State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 91.74% ROI
• Colorado State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.22 Units / -100% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

BYU was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .604

BYU was 10-2 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Colorado State was 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Colorado State was 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Colorado State was 6-2 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Colorado State was 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 464 attempts since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s QBs rushed for 68 yards on 108 carries (just 0.6 YPC) last season — 20th-worst among FBS teams. BYU’s defense allowed just 3.7 YPC last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs has 1 rushing touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 0.9 rushing touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU’s TEs gained 636 yards on 47 receptions (13.5 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU had just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense allowed 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

BYU’s WRs was targeted 262 times last season — T-5th-most among Big 12 WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 2,653 receiving yards last season — 4th-most among Pac-12 defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU Skill Players had no touchdowns on 17 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5

BYU Skill Players had no touchdowns on 17 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

BYU Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.6 receptions (29 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

BYU Skill Players averaged just 6.4 yards per reception (206 yards/32 catches) with over 10 yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

BYU Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.6 receptions (29 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.1

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State RBs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State RBs picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State RBs averaged 10.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (310 yards / 29 touches) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 464 attempts since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 1 of 27 carries (4%) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 19%

BYU allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (29 completions/63 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 56%

BYU averaged 1.69 interceptions per game (22/13) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 0.94

BYU had 22 interceptions last season– T-most in FBS

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Colorado State allowed 18.2 yards per completion (236 yards/13 completions) last week– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.2

Colorado State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (278 completions/388 attempts) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Colorado State tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 42 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

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