- The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are a -21 point favorite vs. the Florida State Seminoles
- Florida State vs. Miami Florida Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN | DIS+
Florida State (3-3) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Florida (5-0) on Oct. 17 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -21 (-120).
The Florida State vs. Miami Florida Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
Bet now on Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Florida State vs. Miami Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida State | +21 -110 | 56.5 -110 | +1050 |
| Miami Florida | -21 -120 | 56.5 -108 | -1600 |
Florida State vs Miami Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida State Seminoles and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida State vs Miami Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles and all games with BetMGM
Florida State Best Bets Today
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Miami Florida Best Bets Today
- Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- Miami has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Miami have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Miami have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida State Seminoles is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.23 Units / -18.47% ROI).
- Florida State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.04% ROI
- Florida State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.53 Units / -37.59% ROI
- Florida State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.82% ROI
Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (FL) Hurricanes is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida
Florida State was 1-10 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Florida State is winless (0-6) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Florida State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State
Miami (FL) is undefeated (11-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .593
Miami (FL) is undefeated (13-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .720
Miami (FL) was 9-2 (.818) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Miami Florida
Miami (FL)’s WRs had 202.4 receiving yards per game last season — 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Florida State’s defense allowed just 190.8 receiving yards per game last season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (FL)’s WRs has 594 receptions in 34 games (17.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (FL) has 812 receptions in 34 games (23.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among ACC defenses.
Florida State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 339 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs gained 2,274 yards on 129 receptions (17.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State gained 3,041 yards on 200 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — best among Power 5 skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 339 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State RBs have 158 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Florida State’s WRs gained 2,274 yards on 129 receptions (17.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State gained 3,041 yards on 200 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — best among Power 5 skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) RBs averaged 7.7 Yards per Carry (750 yards/97 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Miami (FL) have averaged just 4.7 yards per completion (66 yards/14 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Miami (FL) Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Miami (FL) Skill Players had 76 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– T-most in FBS
Florida State intercepted 4 of 324 attempts (81.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9
Florida State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Florida State forced 4 fumbles on 477 carries (119.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
Florida State allowed 368.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 142.3
Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 11 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
The Miami (FL) defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives (9/73) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 23%
Miami (FL) has allowed 16 touchdowns on 424 completions (26.5 Completions Per TD) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 13.1
Miami (FL) opponents has averaged 61.3 Passing Attempts per TD (184 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3
Miami (FL) has allowed 23.2 carries per game (116 carries / 5 games) this season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 33.6
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