- The Texas Tech Red Raiders are a -7.5 point favorite vs. the Houston Cougars
- Houston vs. Texas Tech Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Houston (2-0) visit Galaxy Stadium to take on Texas Tech (2-0) on Sep. 18 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-108).
The Houston vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Houston vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Houston | +7.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +240 |
| Texas Tech | -7.5 -108 | 53.5 -108 | -295 |
Houston vs Texas Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 66.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Houston Cougars and the Texas Tech Red Raiders, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Houston vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Houston Best Bets Today
- Houston has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+6.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Houston have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Texas Tech Best Bets Today
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston Cougars is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Houston is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.67% ROI
- Houston is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Houston is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech Red Raiders is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.33% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Houston was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443
Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Houston was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Texas Tech was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Texas Tech was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Texas Tech was 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .668
Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense averaged 2.4 passing TDs per game last season — T-6th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed just 1.2 passing TDs per game last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech had 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-3rd-best among Power 5 skill players. Houston’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston were not intercepted (79 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter last season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
Houston Skill Players averaged just 10.0 yards per reception (1,803 yards/180 catches) last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.3
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Houston RBs averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (181 yards/61 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Houston Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.0 receptions (180 Rec/9 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech QBs had 24 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech Skill Players had 1,377 receiving yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Skill Players had 63 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Texas Tech had 1,386 receiving yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Offenses
Houston Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 22%
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Houston did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.9
Houston tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 22 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 17%.
Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech forced 27 fumbles last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech allowed 5.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,616 yards / 720 touches) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6.6
Texas Tech forced 27 fumbles last season– most in FBS
Texas Tech allowed 8 rushing TDs on 434 carries (54.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 26
Texas Tech opponents averaged 43.9 Passing Attempts per TD (483 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3
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