- The Liberty Flames are a -2.5 point favorite vs. the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Liberty (2-1) visit Brooks Stadium to take on Coastal Carolina (1-2) on Sep. 24 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Liberty Flames are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-112).
The Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Liberty | -2.5 -112 | 50.5 -102 | -140 |
| Coastal Carolina | +2.5 -105 | 50.5 -118 | +115 |
Liberty vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Liberty Flames and the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Liberty vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 50.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Liberty Best Bets Today
- Liberty have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Coastal Carolina Best Bets Today
- Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Coastal Carolina have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty Flames is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Liberty is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.92% ROI
- Liberty is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
- Liberty is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Coastal Carolina is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Coastal Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Coastal Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina
Liberty was 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
Liberty was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643
Liberty is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .436
Liberty was undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .543
Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Coastal Carolina was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643
Coastal Carolina is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina has 267 receptions in 16 games (just 16.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 3,036 passing yards in 16 games (just 189.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 183.9 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Coastal Carolina had 217 receptions in 13 games (just 16.7 per game) last season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed just 16.9 receptions per game last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty had just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s RBs has rushed for 2,487 yards on 452 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s RBs has rushed for 2,487 yards on 452 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty have thrown 6 interceptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Liberty RBs have averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (961 yards / 129 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Liberty threw 6 interceptions in close and late situations last season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Liberty RBs have averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (744 yards / 101 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Liberty WRs averaged 18.5 yards per reception (2,418 yards/131 catches) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
Coastal Carolina have thrown 0 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8
Coastal Carolina have fumbled 25 times this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Coastal Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 14 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Coastal Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 12 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7
Coastal Carolina threw 0 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 25 rush attempts on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (33 completions/43 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Liberty allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (33 completions/77 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Coastal Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
Coastal Carolina has no interceptions (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 31.0
Coastal Carolina has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.0
Coastal Carolina has no interceptions (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.3
Coastal Carolina has no interceptions and 29 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8
Coastal Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 36 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
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