- The Nebraska Cornhuskers are a -13.5 point favorite vs. the Maryland Terrapins
- Maryland vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Maryland (2-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (4-0) on Oct. 3 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-135).
The Maryland vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | +13.5 +105 | 52.5 -110 | +500 |
| Nebraska | -13.5 -135 | 52.5 -108 | -650 |
Maryland vs Nebraska Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Maryland Terrapins and the Nebraska Cornhuskers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets Today
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Nebraska Best Bets Today
- Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland Terrapins is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.12 Units / -2.78% ROI).
- Maryland is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -15.63% ROI
- Maryland is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.38% ROI
- Maryland is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.32 Units / -52.49% ROI
Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nebraska Cornhuskers is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Nebraska is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.99% ROI
- Nebraska is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Nebraska is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska
Maryland is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Maryland is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .469
Maryland is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .409
Maryland was 2-4 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Nebraska is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Nebraska is 11-6 (.647) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .449
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Nebraska
Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nebraska has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 9.4 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s QBs threw for 3,068 passing yards in 12 games (255.7 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s QBs threw for 3,068 passing yards in 12 games (255.7 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s offense threw for 3,068 passing yards in 12 games (255.7 YPG) last season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland WRs have averaged 33.8 yards per reception (169 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 16.8
Maryland WRs have averaged 33.8 yards per reception (169 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Maryland threw 4 interceptions last week– most among FBS Offenses
Maryland TEs have caught just 10 of 25 passes (40% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 68%
Maryland Skill Players were targeted 40.6 times per game (487/12) last season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 29.7
Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska TEs had just one touchdown on 59 receptions last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3
Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3
Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Nebraska Skill Players had no touchdowns on 27 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 22.0 receptions (286 Rec/13 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.0
Maryland did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%
Maryland sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/383) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Maryland has forced 6 fumbles on 616 carries (102.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 47.8
Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends
Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts (15/95) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts (15/95) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2
Nebraska has allowed 151.5 Passing Yards per game (2,575/17) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 210.8
Nebraska has allowed 97.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 160.7
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