Maryland vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The Nebraska Cornhuskers are a -13.5 point favorite vs. the Maryland Terrapins
  • Maryland vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Maryland (2-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (4-0) on Oct. 3 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-135).

The Maryland vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Maryland Terrapins & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Maryland vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland+13.5 +10552.5 -110+500
Nebraska -13.5 -13552.5 -108-650

Maryland vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Maryland Terrapins and the Nebraska Cornhuskers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Maryland vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Maryland Terrapins and all games with BetMGM


  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland Terrapins is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.12 Units / -2.78% ROI).

  • Maryland is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -15.63% ROI
  • Maryland is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.38% ROI
  • Maryland is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.32 Units / -52.49% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska Cornhuskers is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.99% ROI
  • Nebraska is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Nebraska is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Maryland is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Maryland is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .469

Maryland is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .409

Maryland was 2-4 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Nebraska is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .633

Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska is 11-6 (.647) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .449

Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 9.4 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s QBs threw for 3,068 passing yards in 12 games (255.7 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s QBs threw for 3,068 passing yards in 12 games (255.7 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s offense threw for 3,068 passing yards in 12 games (255.7 YPG) last season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland WRs have averaged 33.8 yards per reception (169 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 16.8

Maryland WRs have averaged 33.8 yards per reception (169 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Maryland threw 4 interceptions last week– most among FBS Offenses

Maryland TEs have caught just 10 of 25 passes (40% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 68%

Maryland Skill Players were targeted 40.6 times per game (487/12) last season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 29.7

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska TEs had just one touchdown on 59 receptions last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Nebraska Skill Players had no touchdowns on 27 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 22.0 receptions (286 Rec/13 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.0

Maryland did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%

Maryland sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/383) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 7%

Maryland has forced 6 fumbles on 616 carries (102.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 47.8

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts (15/95) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%

Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts (15/95) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska has allowed 151.5 Passing Yards per game (2,575/17) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 210.8

Nebraska has allowed 97.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 160.7


Bet now on Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Maryland Terrapins and all games with BetMGM


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