Middle Tennessee vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

• The Kansas Jayhawks are a -19.5 point favorite vs. the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
• Middle Tennessee vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPNU

Middle Tennessee (2-2) visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on Kansas (1-2) on Oct. 3 in Lawrence, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Kansas Jayhawks are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-105).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Kansas Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Middle Tennessee vs Kansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Kansas Jayhawks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Middle Tennessee vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 69.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Kansas Jayhawks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and all games with BetMGM

Middle Tennessee Best Bets Today

• Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Kansas Best Bets Today

• Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI).

• Middle Tennessee is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 2.38% ROI
• Middle Tennessee is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.42 Units / -100% ROI
• Middle Tennessee is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 91.32% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas Jayhawks is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Kansas is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
• Kansas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI
• Kansas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI

Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Middle Tennessee was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Middle Tennessee was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Middle Tennessee was 2-9 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Middle Tennessee is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee

Kansas is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Kansas was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Kansas was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Kansas was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Kansas

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 344 attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Middle Tennessee Skill Players have no touchdowns on 14 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Middle Tennessee has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee have 8 interceptions on 625 attempts (1 INT per 78.1 attempts) since the 2024 season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 41.1

Middle Tennessee’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas TEs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas WRs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (313 yards/14 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.7

Kansas WRs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (313 yards/14 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee has allowed no passing TDs (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Middle Tennessee has averaged a sack every 48.5 pass attempts (97 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Middle Tennessee has averaged a sack every 48.5 pass attempts (97 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Middle Tennessee allowed 31 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.4

Kansas has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Kansas has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.5

Kansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (10 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 61%

Kansas has no interceptions (73 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.3

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