Middle Tennessee vs Marshall Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Balls lie on the field before an NCAA college football game between Mississippi and Vanderbilt on Thursday, Aug. 29, 2013, in Nashville, Tenn.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • Marshall Thundering Herd is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
  • Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Middle Tennessee (1-0) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on Marshall (0-1) on Sep. 12 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Marshall Thundering Herd are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

Bet now on Marshall Thundering Herd vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+13.5 -10856.5 -105+425
Marshall -13.5 -11056.5 -112-550

Middle Tennessee vs Marshall Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Marshall Thundering Herd, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Middle Tennessee vs Marshall Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Marshall Thundering Herd vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and all games with BetMGM


  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.47 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Marshall have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Middle Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.56% ROI
  • Middle Tennessee is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI
  • Middle Tennessee is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI

Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Marshall Thundering Herd is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.12 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Marshall is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Marshall is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Marshall is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall

Middle Tennessee was 2-9 (.182) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Middle Tennessee was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Middle Tennessee was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Middle Tennessee was 2-9 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee

Marshall was undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Marshall was undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Marshall was 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Marshall was 10-3 (.769) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall

Marshall’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 11.8 RAC to RBs last season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 12.8 RAC last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s offense threw for 3,193 passing yards in 12 games (266.1 YPG) last season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,166 passing yards in 12 games (263.8 YPG) last season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,166 passing yards in 12 games (263.8 YPG) last season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee’s offense threw for 3,193 passing yards in 12 games (266.1 YPG) last season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,166 passing yards in 12 games (263.8 YPG) last season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,166 passing yards in 12 games (263.8 YPG) last season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Marshall’s defense allowed 14.6 RAC last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s offense threw for 3,193 passing yards in 12 games (266.1 YPG) last season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends

Marshall RBs averaged 7.3 Yards per Carry (550 yards/75 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Marshall’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 11.8 RAC to RBs last season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall RBs averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (601 yards / 81 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Marshall’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 12.8 RAC last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall WRs caught 5 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee allowed 31 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Middle Tennessee allowed 17 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Middle Tennessee allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 32%

Middle Tennessee allowed 31 TD passes last season– most in FBS

Marshall Defensive Stats & Trends

Marshall allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 365 attempts (5%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Marshall allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,140 yards/215 completions) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8

Marshall allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 365 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Marshall allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (599/12) to RBs last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.1

Marshall tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 37 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.


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