Minnesota vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • Wisconsin (6-5) are -3 point favorites vs Minnesota (7-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 36 points

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-4) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (6-6) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Madison.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Minnesota vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is total points.

Bet now on Wisconsin vs Minnesota & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Minnesota vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota
Wisconsin

Minnesota vs Wisconsin Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 51.6% confidence.

Minnesota vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 68.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Wisconsin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tanner Morgan has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Tanner Morgan has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+3.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Skyler Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.83 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Minnesota is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -12.52% ROI
  • Minnesota is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI
  • Minnesota is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -44.87% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Minnesota is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Minnesota is 8-2 (.615) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Minnesota is 7-3 (.700) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Minnesota is 12-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .516

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .581

Wisconsin is 11-1 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .631

Wisconsin is 8-4 (.533) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .385

Wisconsin is 9-1 (.692) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin have just 174.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 176.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs have just 117.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 176.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs have just 117.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 113.6 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,136 yards on 70 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs have just 116.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 178.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,136 yards on 70 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota WRs have averaged 32.0 yards per reception (64 yards/2 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,136 yards on 70 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota Skill Players have caught just 4 of 13 passes (31% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Minnesota RBs have averaged 38.4 carries per game (884 carries / 23 games) since last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 26.4

Minnesota WRs have caught just 2 of 8 passes (25% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin WRs have averaged 23.1 yards per reception (369 yards/16 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.9

Wisconsin RBs have averaged 193.6 rushing yards per game (4,453/23) since the 2021 season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 132.3

Wisconsin have just 174.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 176.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs have just 117.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 176.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs have just 117.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 113.6 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota has no interceptions (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Minnesota opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.2

Minnesota has no interceptions (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.3

Minnesota opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Minnesota has allowed 29.1 carries per game (669 carries / 23 games) since last season– 2nd lowest in FBS; Average: 36.7

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has tackled opponents for a loss on 165 of 734 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 35.4 Passing Attempts per TD (637 Pass Attempts/18 Passing TDs) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%

Wisconsin has allowed 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (132 yards / 63 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– best in FBS; Average: 5.0

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (60 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 4.0


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Wisconsin vs Minnesota and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.