- The Nevada Wolf Pack are a -3.5 point favorite vs. the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Nevada (1-1) visit Johnny Red Floyd Stadium to take on Middle Tennessee (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Murfreesboro, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Nevada Wolf Pack are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-112).
The Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
Bet now on Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Nevada Wolf Pack & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nevada | -3.5 -112 | 50.5 -105 | -175 |
| Middle Tennessee | +3.5 -105 | 50.5 -112 | +150 |
Nevada vs Middle Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nevada vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Nevada Wolf Pack and all games with BetMGM
Nevada Best Bets Today
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Middle Tennessee Best Bets Today
- Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada Wolf Pack is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Nevada is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Nevada is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Nevada is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.22 Units / -100% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 91.74% ROI
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee
Nevada was winless (0-8) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Nevada was winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Nevada was 3-8 (.273) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Nevada was winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
Middle Tennessee was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Middle Tennessee was 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Middle Tennessee was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
Middle Tennessee was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee’s RBs averaged 7.2 targets per game last season — T-6th-highest among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee had 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-34th-best among FBS skill players. Nevada’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s WRs had 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Nevada’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s QBs threw for 1,784 passing yards in 12 games (just 148.7 YPG) last season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s offense threw for 1,784 passing yards in 12 games (just 148.7 YPG) last season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch last season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 12.8 RAC last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada’s QBs threw for 1,784 passing yards in 12 games (just 148.7 YPG) last season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s offense threw for 1,784 passing yards in 12 games (just 148.7 YPG) last season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 256.2 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch last season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 12.8 RAC last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada WRs averaged a touchdown every 31.7 receptions (95 Rec/3 TDs) last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
Nevada Skill Players were targeted 17 times in the 4th quarter last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee threw one interception on 149 attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
Middle Tennessee TEs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee’s RBs averaged 7.2 targets per game last season — T-6th-highest among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee had 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-34th-best among FBS skill players. Nevada’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.3
Nevada had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 31.0
Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS
Nevada allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (34 completions/50 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Nevada averaged 1.1 sacks per game last season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 2.1
Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee had no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4
Middle Tennessee allowed 31 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Middle Tennessee allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Middle Tennessee allowed 31 TD passes last season– most in FBS
Middle Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on just 62 of 464 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
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