Oklahoma vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

• The Georgia Bulldogs are a -14 point favorite vs. the Oklahoma Sooners
• Oklahoma vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN | DIS+

Oklahoma (2-1) visit Sanford Stadium to take on Georgia (3-0) on Sep. 26 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Georgia Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14 (-108).

The Oklahoma vs. Georgia Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Oklahoma vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Oklahoma Sooners and the Georgia Bulldogs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Oklahoma Best Bets Today

• Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+64.25 Units / 6% ROI)
• Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Georgia Best Bets Today

• Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 0% ROI)
• Georgia have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma Sooners is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Oklahoma is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -4.98% ROI
• Oklahoma is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
• Oklahoma is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Bulldogs is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 92.31% ROI).

• Georgia is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.45% ROI
• Georgia is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Georgia is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Oklahoma is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .603

Oklahoma was 2-4 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Oklahoma is 3-2 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .426

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .426

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .603

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Georgia

Georgia gained 3,085 yards on 287 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) last season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs gained 545 yards on 43 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs gained 545 yards on 43 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma’s TEs had 55 receptions in 13 games (4.2 per game) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia’s defense allowed 19.9 receptions per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs has 205 receptions in 16 games (just 12.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs averaged 22.8 targets per game last season — 4th-highest among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma Skill Players averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (2,242 yards/232 catches) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.8

Oklahoma were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (24/119) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Oklahoma Skill Players averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (777 yards/88 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1

Oklahoma were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (24/119) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Oklahoma WRs averaged just 11.4 yards per reception (1,458 yards/128 catches) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia WRs have caught 50 of 61 passes (82% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 60%

Georgia TEs have averaged 30.0 yards per reception (60 yards/2 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

Georgia Skill Players have caught 68 of 86 passes (79% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Skill Players have caught 45 of 53 passes (85% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 62%

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 420 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 420 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 420 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 47 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 47 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

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