- The Oregon Ducks are a -11.5 point favorite vs. the Illinois Fighting Illini
- Oregon vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Oregon (4-2) visit Gies Memorial Stadium to take on Illinois (3-3) on Oct. 24 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 pm.
The Oregon Ducks are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (+115).
The Oregon vs. Illinois Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Oregon vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon | -11.5 +115 | 50.5 -105 | -350 |
| Illinois | +11.5 -150 | 50.5 -112 | +280 |
Oregon vs Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Oregon Ducks and the Illinois Fighting Illini, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon Best Bets Today
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Illinois Best Bets Today
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon Ducks is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.42 Units / -36.56% ROI).
- Oregon is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.1 Units / -40.68% ROI
- Oregon is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.75 Units / 26.4% ROI
- Oregon is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.42 Units / -36.83% ROI
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois Fighting Illini is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI).
- Illinois is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -12.9% ROI
- Illinois is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.54% ROI
- Illinois is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Oregon was undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Oregon was undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618
Oregon was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429
Oregon was undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Illinois was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Illinois was 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .668
Illinois is undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713
Illinois is undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .680
Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Illinois
Illinois’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Illinois’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Oregon’s defense allowed just 10.5 RAC last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s WRs gained 2,211 yards on 159 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.6% of 435 attempts last season — T-3rd-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.1% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Oregon’s WRs gained 2,211 yards on 159 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon WRs averaged just 5.8 yards per reception (64 yards/11 catches) last week– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.5
Oregon Skill Players have averaged 16.9 yards per reception (355 yards/21 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.5
Oregon WRs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (196 yards/11 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.2
Oregon Skill Players averaged just 5.6 yards per reception (113 yards/20 catches) last week– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.8
Oregon QBs had 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Illinois RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (172 yards / 21 touches) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1
Illinois have thrown 7.7 Passing TDs per Interception (23 passing TDs/3 interceptions) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.5
Illinois’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Oregon’s defense allowed just 10.5 RAC last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (329 completions/613 attempts) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (226 completions/423 attempts) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%
Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (329 completions/613 attempts) since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Oregon allowed opponents to catch just 226 of 417 passes (54% Reception Pct) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has averaged a sack every 37.0 pass attempts (185 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.5
Illinois has no interceptions and 25 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.9
Illinois has no interceptions and 25 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 12.4
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Illinois has allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (12 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.5
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