- The Pittsburgh Panthers are a -6.5 point favorite vs. the Boston College Eagles
- Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
Pittsburgh (5-1) visit Alumni Stadium to take on Boston College (2-3) on Oct. 17 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Pittsburgh Panthers are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Pittsburgh | -6.5 -110 | 45.5 -175 | -235 |
| Boston College | +6.5 -110 | 45.5 +130 | +190 |
Pittsburgh vs Boston College Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pittsburgh Panthers and the Boston College Eagles, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Pittsburgh vs Boston College Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Pittsburgh Best Bets Today
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets Today
- Boston College has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.62 Units / 22% ROI)
Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Pittsburgh Panthers is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.87 Units / 28.64% ROI).
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 13.07% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College Eagles is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.82 Units / 14.96% ROI).
- Boston College is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -44.44% ROI
- Boston College is 0-5 when betting the Over for -5.42 Units / -100% ROI
- Boston College is 5-0 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 89.61% ROI
Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College
Pittsburgh is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Pittsburgh is 11-3 (.786) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .635
Pittsburgh is 13-5 (.722) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .600
Pittsburgh is 9-3 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .436
Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh
Boston College is 3-8 (.273) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .692
Boston College is 1-11 (.083) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
Boston College is winless (0-8) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .507
Boston College is 2-11 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. Boston College
Boston College’s TEs had 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) last season — best among ACC TEs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20.8 receptions per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College’s TEs had 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) last season — best among FBS TEs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20.8 receptions per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College’s TEs had 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-best among ACC TEs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Pittsburgh’s QBs threw for 3,553 passing yards in 13 games (273.3 YPG) last season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense allowed 255.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh WRs caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams
Pittsburgh had no touchdowns on 27 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2
Pittsburgh Skill Players caught 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Pittsburgh RBs caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Pittsburgh threw 0 TDs on 44 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8
Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends
Boston College have thrown one TD on 14 pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.5
Boston College TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Boston College RBs averaged 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (352 yards / 37 touches) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Boston College TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Boston College WRs have averaged 23.7 yards per reception (142 yards/6 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh has allowed 1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (25 yards / 24 touches) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.6
Pittsburgh has allowed 1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (25 yards / 24 touches) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.7
Pittsburgh has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 38 of 162 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Pittsburgh did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends
Boston College had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2
Boston College has allowed opponents to catch just 4 of 13 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 56%
Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 52%
Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
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