- The Troy Trojans are a -17.5 point favorite vs. the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- UL Monroe vs. Troy Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
UL Monroe (0-6) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) to take on Troy (3-3) on Oct. 24 in Troy, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.
The Troy Trojans are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (+120).
The UL Monroe vs. Troy Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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UL Monroe vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UL Monroe | +17.5 -160 | 50.5 -105 | +525 |
| Troy | -17.5 +120 | 50.5 -125 | -700 |
UL Monroe vs Troy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 74.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and the Troy Trojans, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UL Monroe vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UL Monroe will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UL Monroe Best Bets Today
- UL Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- UL Monroe have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- UL Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- UL Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- UL Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Troy Best Bets Today
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)
UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).
- UL Monroe is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -100% ROI
- UL Monroe is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- UL Monroe is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy Trojans is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Troy is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Troy is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -67.94% ROI
- Troy is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 58.65% ROI
UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Troy
Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-13) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .434
Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-13) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .367
Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-6) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Troy: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe
Troy is 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .600
Troy was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Troy was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Matchup Notes for UL Monroe vs. Troy
Troy’s RBs had just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs have just 15.2 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 16th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed just 19.5 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2024 season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s QBs has rushed for 646 yards on 337 carries (just 1.9 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-worst among FBS teams. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense threw for 1,925 passing yards in 12 games (just 160.4 YPG) last season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game last season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe had just 160.3 receiving yards per game last season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs threw for 1,875 passing yards in 12 games (just 156.2 YPG) last season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game last season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Louisiana-Monroe did not score on any of their 13 drives last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 25%
Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 24.4 yards per reception (220 yards/9 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged just 11.1 receptions per game (133/12) last season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends
Troy were sacked 59 times last season– most among FBS Offenses
Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0
Troy were sacked 59 times last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0
Troy RBs have averaged 157.5 rushing yards per game (945/6) this season– 28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 129.8
Troy RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (112 yards/34 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
UL Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Louisiana-Monroe has forced one fumble on 255 carries this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.2
Louisiana-Monroe has forced one fumble on 255 carries this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 45.8
Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 235.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 162.2
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends
Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on 24 of 103 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Troy has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (24 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 10%
Troy tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 49 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) last week– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%.
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