- The Michigan Wolverines are a -35 point favorite vs. the UTEP Miners
- UTEP vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
UTEP (1-1) visit Michigan Stadium to take on Michigan (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Michigan Wolverines are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -35 (-110).
The UTEP vs. Michigan Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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UTEP vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTEP | +35 -108 | 48.5 -105 | +8000 |
| Michigan | -35 -110 | 48.5 -112 | +1 |
UTEP vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UTEP Miners and the Michigan Wolverines, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTEP Best Bets Today
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets Today
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP Miners is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- UTEP is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.86% ROI
- UTEP is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- UTEP is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan Wolverines is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Michigan is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 6.83% ROI
- Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
UTEP was 2-9 (.182) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372
UTEP was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
UTEP was 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
UTEP was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420
Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Michigan was undefeated (7-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .438
Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Michigan
Michigan’s WRs gained 1,664 yards on 119 receptions (14.0 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s RBs had just 12.3 receiving yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense allowed 31.4 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has 132 receptions in 15 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 9.5 RAC last season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 9.5 RAC last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
UTEP’s RBs gained 186 yards on 31 receptions (just 6.0 YPR) last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (111/12) last season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 9.5 RAC last season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 9.5 RAC last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
UTEP threw 1.7 interceptions per game (20/12) last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.8
UTEP RBs averaged 15.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (189 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and long last season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan Skill Players averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (1,678 yards/190 catches) last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.6
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (169 yards/23 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (372 yards/48 catches) in the 1st half last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.9
Michigan WRs averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (752 yards/83 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Michigan Skill Players averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (1,678 yards/190 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 74 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 74 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
UTEP intercepted 5 of 380 attempts (76.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.8
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 61 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2
Michigan sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS
Michigan sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 72 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.
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