- The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are a -2 point favorite vs. the SMU Mustangs
- Wake Forest vs. SMU Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN | DIS+
Wake Forest (8-1) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on SMU (7-2) on Nov. 14 in Dallas, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2 (-102).
The Wake Forest vs. SMU Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Wake Forest vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wake Forest | -2 -102 | 59.5 -102 | -110 |
| SMU | +2 -130 | 59.5 -130 | -108 |
Wake Forest vs SMU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 53.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the SMU Mustangs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wake Forest vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wake Forest Best Bets Today
- Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 73% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.27 Units / 50% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
SMU Best Bets Today
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest Demon Deacons is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.85 Units / 49.14% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 15.68% ROI
- Wake Forest is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.62 Units / 6.26% ROI
- Wake Forest is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.48 Units / -14.95% ROI
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU Mustangs is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -14.21% ROI).
- SMU is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 2.36% ROI
- SMU is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- SMU is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. SMU
Wake Forest is undefeated (9-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .527
Wake Forest is undefeated (9-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Wake Forest is 17-3 (.850) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .593
Wake Forest is undefeated (8-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .603
SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest
SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624
SMU is 11-4 (.733) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .537
SMU is 14-5 (.737) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .612
SMU is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656
Matchup Notes for Wake Forest vs. SMU
SMU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 460 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
SMU gained 3,680 yards on 305 receptions (12.1 YPR) last season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — best among ACC defenses.
SMU’s TEs gained 776 yards on 59 receptions (13.2 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s TEs had 33 receptions in 13 games (just 2.5 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense allowed 24.5 receptions per game last season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s TEs had 33 receptions in 13 games (just 2.5 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense allowed 24.5 receptions per game last season — T-worst among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s TEs had 33 receptions in 13 games (just 2.5 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense allowed 24.5 receptions per game last season — T-worst among P5 defenses.
Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest QBs had 10 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams
Wake Forest WRs had 9 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams
Wake Forest QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams
Wake Forest have one interception on 270 attempts this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 43.8
Wake Forest have thrown 22 TDs and just one interception this season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.4
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends
SMU TEs averaged 22.5 yards per reception (293 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
SMU Skill Players have caught 9 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
SMU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 460 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
SMU Skill Players have caught 9 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power Conference Teams
SMU TEs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest has allowed just 8.2 yards per completion (2,025 yards/247 completions) this season– best in FBS; Average: 11.6
The Wake Forest defense did not allow scores on any opponent drives (16 drives) last week– best in FBS; Average: 26%
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest has allowed just 8.2 yards per completion (2,025 yards/247 completions) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
Wake Forest has allowed just 9.1 yards per completion (4,714 yards/517 completions) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends
SMU allowed 5 rushing TDs on 456 carries (91.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 24
SMU allowed 5 rushing TDs on 73 carries (14.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1
SMU allowed 5 rushing TDs on 73 carries (14.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
SMU allowed 5 rushing TDs on 456 carries (91.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.1
SMU has allowed 15 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– most among Power Conference Teams
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