National Championship Odds 2024: Ohio State Pulls Even With Georgia

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New Alabama football head coach Kalen DeBoer talks with the media in his introductory press conference at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. DeBoer is replacing the recently retired Nick Saban.
(AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)
Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy Apr 05, 2024, 2:53 PM
  • College football national championship odds are already live at BetMGM for the 2024 season.
  • Georgia and Ohio State are +350 betting co-favorites.
  • Alabama slid from +550 to +1400 in the months after Nick Saban announced his retirement.
  • Michigan was adjusted to +1600 after Jim Harbaugh left the Wolverines.

Michigan defeated Washington 34-13, winning its first national championship since 1997. The Wolverines’ title is an appropriate end to a chaotic and memorable 2023 season.

Of course, the college football betting community never sleeps, which is why the BetMGM online sportsbook already has futures odds up for next year’s national championship.

Odds To Win National Championship 2024

TeamTitle Odds
Ohio State+350
Ole Miss+1100
Florida State+2000
Penn State+2500
Notre Dame+2500
Miami (FL)+3500
Texas A&M+4000

College Football National Championship Odds: Ohio State Becomes Betting Favorite

Kyle McCord transferred to Syracuse. Marvin Harrison Jr. has left for the NFL. The Big Ten is breaking up its divisions and welcoming in USC, UCLA, Washington, and Oregon.

That’s a lot of variables to consider for Ohio State. The Buckeyes will have road games at Michigan State, Penn State, and Oregon while breaking in a new starting quarterback and a handful of new playmakers.

None of that seems to matter much for the college football betting community, which is targeting Ohio State at astronomical levels early in the offseason. At BetMGM, about 27% of all championship tickets and 41.4% of all championship handle was behind the Buckeyes, as of April 3. 

As a result of the big volume and money, Ohio State has moved from +700 at open to +350 now. That makes the Buckeyes a co-favorite with Georgia.

Georgia is a popular target in its own right, collecting about 12% of all tickets and 16% of all handle. The Bulldogs just can’t keep up with those crazy, early-cycle Ohio State numbers.

Personally, I think the Georgia ticket makes a lot more sense. Importantly, the Bulldogs return quarterback Carson Beck, who should be an early Heisman odds frontrunner after a quietly efficient 2023 season. Beck threw for 3,941 yards and 24 touchdowns (six INTs) while posting an 86 QBR – the fifth-highest mark in college football last year. 

Not bad for a first-year starter. 

Life After Saban: What To Expect Next For Alabama Football

The 2024 offseason was hardly underway when the college football landscape was dealt a seismic shift. Nick Saban announced he was retiring, leaving the post he has occupied in Tuscaloosa since 2008.

The news immediately launched hundreds of takes and an international coaching search. Alabama pledged to make a hire within 72 hours, and it did – bringing on Washington coach Kalen DeBoer to replace a living legend. (Washington, in turn, tapped Arizona’s Jedd Fisch.)

As much as I like and respect DeBoer, I’m not sure that I’d want the unenviable job of replacing Saban at Alabama. In terms of expectations, that seems like an absolutely impossible job to succeed at. But let’s set that aside for a second and talk about the actual odds.

Just 24 hours after Michigan hoisted the national championship trophy, Alabama was +550 to win next year’s title. With DeBoer firmly installed as the head man in Alabama, the Crimson Tide moved slightly to +800. They’ve since settled down at +1400.

With Texas and Oklahoma entering the conference picture in 2024, and playoff access widening out to 12 teams, there has never been a crazier or more complex time to try to handicap the SEC. The traffic at the top of the conference will be wild and carnage-fueled. It is not crazy to imagine a scenario where four or five SEC teams make the inaugural playoff field of 12. 

In DeBoer’s first year, can Alabama successfully navigate post-Saban players entering the portal? Can they survive an even more brutal SEC, make the postseason, then win three or four playoff games? 

That seems like a lot to ask for a very rich +1400 price. But DeBoer is an excellent coach, and Alabama will continue to recruit at a high level.

College Football Odds: Finding Value in the 2024 National Championship Market

Every year, there’s a lot of discussion of “value” in this part of the odds table. Here’s a question I field nearly every summer: “Sure, you can bet on Alabama to win another national championship at short odds, but wouldn’t you rather have reigning Big 12 champion Kansas State at 100-to-1?”

Chris Klieman is an excellent coach who I am a huge fan of, and Kansas State may indeed compete for another conference championship next season. But any intrinsic “value” that may exist here is dwarfed by the fairly obvious reality that Kansas State has zero chance of winning a national championship next season.

I call this the Utah rule. A few years ago, Utah was a trendy pick to win the national championship at +7500. Paul Finebaum would bring guests on to talk about the Utes. ESPN Radio loved them. Talking heads would slide them in as their fourth and final playoff pick throughout the summer.

And here’s the thing: Utah nearly won the Pac-12 and made the playoff! 

They ultimately choked pretty hard in the conference title game to Oregon and never had a shot at the Final Four. Even if they hadn’t, would Utah really have stood a chance in a four-team playoff against multiple SEC opponents? Or Ohio State? It’s… unlikely.

As a general rule, I don’t bet venture down this far when hunting for futures in the college football championship odds market. I might bet on a dark horse to win its conference or make the playoff, as I did with TCU last season. 

But national championships are nearly always won by known goliaths with warehouses full of blue-chip recruits and future NFL players. That’s just the way this sport goes. When it comes to buying a national championship ticket, it’s usually prudent to keep your eyes above the +5000 line.

College Football National Championship Odds: The Longshots

TeamTitle Odds
Kansas State+10000
North Carolina+15000
Oklahoma State+15000
Iowa State+20000
NC State+20000
Texas Tech+20000
West Virginia+20000
Michigan State+30000
Oregon State+30000
South Carolina+30000
Wake Forest+30000
Coastal Carolina+50000
Mississippi State+50000

College Football Futures Betting

There’s never a break in college football betting at the online sportsbook.

Throughout the offseason, you can bet on a variety of futures, including national championship odds, win totals, and conference champions. It’s a fun way to maintain your entertainment when teams are holding spring practice, adding new players from the transfer portal, and releasing depth charts.

Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome offer — to start betting. And always check your new account for updated sportsbook promos and bonuses.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.