You can bet on NFL odds for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Chiefs-Broncos game this week.
Ahead of the Week 1 matchup on September 14, 2026 at Arrowhead Stadium, here’s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.
First TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Chiefs-Broncos
Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | First TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III (KC) | +400 | 20.0% |
| J.K. Dobbins (DEN) | +675 | 12.9% |
| Rashee Rice (KC) | +875 | 10.3% |
| Jaylen Waddle (DEN) | +950 | 9.5% |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +1050 | 8.7% |
| RJ Harvey (DEN) | +1100 | 8.3% |
| Xavier Worthy | +1100 | 8.3% |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Emmett Johnson (KC) | +1800 | 5.3% |
Anytime TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Chiefs – Broncos
Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | Anytime TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III (KC) | -130 | 56.2% |
| J.K. Dobbins (DEN) | +140 | 41.7% |
| Jaylen Waddle (DEN) | +180 | 35.7% |
| Rashee Rice (KC) | +185 | 35.1% |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +220 | 31.3% |
| Xavier Worthy (KC) | +240 | 29.4% |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | +240 | 29.4% |
| RJ Harvey (DEN) | +240 | 29.4% |
| Pat Bryant (DEN) | +400 | 20.0% |
| Emmett Johnson (KC) | +420 | 19.2% |
Will Kenneth Walker III Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 56.2% chance Walker scores a touchdown this week against the Broncos.
Will J.K. Dobbins Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 41.7% chance Dobbins scores a touchdown this week against the Chiefs.
Will Rashee Rice Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 35.1% chance Rice scores a touchdown this week against the Broncos.
Will Jaylen Waddle Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 35.7% chance Waddle scores a touchdown this week against the Chiefs.
Will Travis Kelce Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 31.3% chance Kelce scores a touchdown this week against the Broncos.
First TD Scorer Trends
- Kenneth Walker III has scored the first touchdown two times since the beginning of the 2024 season – equal-most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Xavier Worthy has scored the first touchdown two times since the beginning of the 2024 season – equal-most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Bo Nix has scored the first touchdown three times since the beginning of the 2024 season – 3rd-most among NFL QB’s (including playoffs).
- Rashee Rice has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Justin Fields has scored the first touchdown six times since the beginning of the 2022 season – 3rd-most among NFL QB’s (including playoffs).
- Travis Kelce has scored the first touchdown 20 times in his career – most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Patrick Mahomes has scored the first touchdown 10 times in his career – 2nd-most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Courtland Sutton has scored the first touchdown 10 times in his career – most among active Broncos players (including playoffs).
- Evan Engram has scored the first touchdown six times in his career – T2nd-most among active Broncos players (including playoffs).
- Jaylen Waddle has scored the first touchdown six times in his career – T2nd-most among active Broncos players (including playoffs).
- Courtland Sutton scored the first touchdown on a six-yard pass from Jarrett Stidham in the Broncos’ last outing, a 10-7 loss to the Patriots.
- Patrick Mahomes scored the first touchdown on a 12-yard run in his last appearance, a 16-13 loss to the Chargers.
First Touchdown Insights
- The Chiefs recorded the first touchdown in seven of their 17 games last season.
- The Broncos recorded the first touchdown in 11 of their 19 games last season (including playoffs).
First TD trends
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in 55 of their last 91 games (including playoffs).
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in 15 of their last 22 games against the Broncos (including playoffs).
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in two of their last three games (including playoffs).
Rushing/Receiving Splits
- The Chiefs scored 15 rushing TDs from their 17 games last season , while allowing 14 rushing TDs.
- The Chiefs allowed 23 passing TDs from their 17 games last season , while allowing 18 passing TDs.
- The Broncos scored 18 rushing TDs from their 19 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 12 rushing TDs.
- The Broncos allowed 29 passing TDs from their 19 games last season (including playoffs), while allowing 21 passing TDs.
Visit the sportsbook to bet on all Chiefs odds and Broncos odds throughout the season.
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