You can bet on NFL odds for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Dolphins-Chiefs game this week.
Ahead of the Week 3 matchup on September 27, 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium, here’s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.
First TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Dolphins – Chiefs
Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | First TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III (KC) | +300 | 25.0% |
| De’Von Achane (MIA) | +625 | 13.8% |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +775 | 11.4% |
| Rashee Rice (KC) | +825 | 10.8% |
| Xavier Worthy (KC) | +1100 | 8.3% |
| Emmett Johnson (KC) | +1150 | 8.0% |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Malik Washington (MIA) | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Malik Willis (MIA) | +1850 | 5.1% |
| Tyquan Thornton (KC) | +1900 | 5.0% |
| Greg Dulcich (MIA) | +2500 | 3.8% |
| Ollie Gordon II (MIA) | +2500 | 3.8% |
| Noah Gray (KC) | +3000 | 3.2% |
| Jalen Royals (KC) | +6600 | 1.5% |
Anytime TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Dolphins – Chiefs
Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | Anytime TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III (KC) | -210 | 67.6% |
| De’Von Achane (MIA) | +105 | 48.8% |
| Rashee Rice (KC) | +140 | 41.7% |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +145 | 40.8% |
| Emmett Johnson (KC) | +225 | 30.8% |
| Xavier Worthy (KC) | +230 | 30.3% |
| Malik Washington (MIA) | +300 | 25.0% |
| Malik Willis (MIA) | +320 | 23.8% |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +360 | 21.7% |
| Tyquan Thornton (KC) | +400 | 20.0% |
| Greg Dulcich (MIA) | +450 | 18.2% |
| Ollie Gordon II (MIA) | +525 | 16.0% |
| Noah Gray (KC) | +700 | 12.5% |
| Jalen Royals (KC) | +1350 | 6.9% |
| Jalen Tolbert (MIA) | +1900 | 5.0% |
| Cyrus Allen (KC) | +2200 | 4.3% |
Will Kenneth Walker III Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 67.6% chance Walker scores a touchdown this week against the Dolphins.
Will De’Von Achane Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 48.8% chance Achane scores a touchdown this week against the Chiefs.
Will Rashee Rice Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 41.7% chance Rice scores a touchdown this week against the Dolphins.
Will Travis Kelce Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 40.8% chance Kelce scores a touchdown this week against the Dolphins.
Will Emmett Johnson Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 30.8% chance Johnson scores a touchdown this week against the Dolphins.
First TD Scorer Trends
- De’Von Achane has scored the first touchdown seven times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Dolphins players (including playoffs).
- Rashee Rice has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Justin Fields has scored the first touchdown six times since the beginning of the 2022 season – 3rd-most among NFL QB’s (including playoffs).
- Travis Kelce has scored the first touchdown 20 times in his career – most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Patrick Mahomes has scored the first touchdown 11 times in his career – 2nd-most among active Chiefs players (including playoffs).
- Jalen Tolbert has scored the first touchdown two times in his career – T2nd-most among active Dolphins players (including playoffs).
- Malik Washington has scored the first touchdown two times in his career – T2nd-most among active Dolphins players.
- Patrick Mahomes has scored the first touchdown in two of the Chiefs’ last three games (including playoffs).
- De’Von Achane has scored the first touchdown in two of the Dolphins’ last six games at Hard Rock Stadium.
- Rashee Rice has scored the first touchdown in each of the Chiefs’ last two games against the Dolphins (including playoffs).
- Rashee Rice scored the first touchdown on an 11-yard pass from Patrick Mahomes in the Chiefs’ last outing against the Dolphins, a 26-7 win.
First Touchdown Insights
- The Dolphins have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
- The Chiefs have also recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
First TD trends
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 13 games at Hard Rock Stadium (including playoffs).
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in 56 of their last 93 games (including playoffs).
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last two games against the Dolphins (including playoffs).
Rushing/Receiving Splits
- The Dolphins scored 15 rushing TDs from their 19 games since the beginning of last season , while allowing 21 rushing TDs.
- The Dolphins scored 24 passing TDs from their 19 games since the beginning of last season , while allowing 34 passing TDs.
- The Chiefs scored 17 rushing TDs from their 19 games since the beginning of last season , while allowing 16 rushing TDs.
- The Chiefs scored 28 passing TDs from their 19 games since the beginning of last season , while allowing 20 passing TDs.
Visit the sportsbook to bet on all Dolphins odds and Chiefs odds throughout the season.
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