You can bet on NFL odds for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Commanders-Colts game this week.
Ahead of the Week 4 matchup on October 4, 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, here’s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.
First TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Commanders – Colts
Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | First TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | +260 | 27.8% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS) | +675 | 12.9% |
| Josh Downs (IND) | +725 | 12.1% |
| Tyler Warren (IND) | +725 | 12.1% |
| Stefon Diggs (WAS) | +1300 | 7.1% |
| Marcus Mariota (WAS) | +1900 | 5.0% |
| Daniel Jones (IND) | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo (WAS) | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Kaytron Allen (WAS) | +2500 | 3.8% |
| Dyami Brown (WAS) | +3500 | 2.8% |
| Andrew Ogletree (IND) | +5000 | 2.0% |
| Ben Sinnott (WAS) | +6000 | 1.6% |
Anytime TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Commanders – Colts
Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | Anytime TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | -275 | 73.5% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS) | +110 | 47.6% |
| Josh Downs (IND) | +145 | 40.8% |
| Tyler Warren (IND) | +145 | 40.8% |
| Stefon Diggs (WAS) | +210 | 32.3% |
| Marcus Mariota (WAS) | +333 | 23.1% |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo (WAS) | +360 | 21.7% |
| Daniel Jones (IND) | +425 | 19.0% |
| Kaytron Allen (WAS) | +425 | 19.0% |
| Dyami Brown (WAS) | +700 | 12.5% |
| Andrew Ogletree (IND) | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Ben Sinnott (WAS) | +1550 | 6.1% |
Will Jonathan Taylor Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 73.5% chance Taylor scores a touchdown this week against the Commanders.
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 47.6% chance Croskey-Merritt scores a touchdown this week against the Colts.
Will Josh Downs Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 40.8% chance Downs scores a touchdown this week against the Commanders.
Will Tyler Warren Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 40.8% chance Warren scores a touchdown this week against the Commanders.
Will Stefon Diggs Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 32.3% chance Diggs scores a touchdown this week against the Colts.
First TD Scorer Trends
- Tyler Warren has scored the first touchdown four times since the beginning of the 2024 season – T2nd-most among NFL TE’s.
- Rachaad White has scored the first touchdown six times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Commanders players (including playoffs).
- Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown 23 times since the beginning of the 2020 season – most among active Colts players (including playoffs).
- Keenan Allen has scored the first touchdown 17 times in his career – 2nd-most among active Colts players (including playoffs).
- Austin Ekeler has scored the first touchdown 15 times in his career – most among active Commanders players (including playoffs).
- Stefon Diggs has scored the first touchdown 10 times in his career – 2nd-most among active Commanders players (including playoffs).
- Terry McLaurin has scored the first touchdown eight times in his career – 3rd-most among active Commanders players (including playoffs).
- Daniel Jones has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T3rd-most among active Colts players (including playoffs).
- Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in two of the Colts’ last five games (including playoffs).
- Rachaad White scored the first touchdown on a six-yard pass from Marcus Mariota in the Commanders’ last outing, a 33-31 win against the Seahawks.
- Keenan Allen scored the first touchdown on a six-yard pass from Daniel Jones in the Colts’ last outing, a 19-17 win against the Texans.
First Touchdown Insights
- The Commanders have recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season [(including playoffs)].
- The Colts have recorded the first touchdown in each of their three games this season [(including playoffs)].
First TD trends
- The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last two games against AFC opponents.
- The Colts have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games.
- The Colts have scored the first touchdown in three of their last four games against the Commanders.
Rushing/Receiving Splits
- The Commanders have scored one rushing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing zero rushing TDs.
- The Commanders have scored seven passing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing 11 passing TDs.
- The Colts have scored four rushing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing five rushing TDs.
- The Colts have scored three passing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing five passing TDs.
Visit the sportsbook to bet on all Commanders odds and Colts odds throughout the season.
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