- The Penguins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Bruins vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN+ | NESN | SNPT | TVA
The Boston Bruins (11-4-1) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (5-8-2) on Nov. 5 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Penguins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Bruins vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Bruins vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Bruins | +1.5 -250 | 6.5 -110 | N/A |
| Penguins | -1.5 +200 | 6.5 -110 | N/A |
Bruins vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 50.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Bruins vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bruins will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+7.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.40 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 3P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.35 Units / 53% ROI)
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 12-4 against the spread this NHL season (+9.75 Units / 37.14% ROI).
- Bruins are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units /31.66% ROI
- Bruins are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -28.65% ROI
- Bruins are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.55 Units /20.17% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 8-7 against the spread this NHL season (-0.5 Units /-2.06% ROI).
- Penguins are 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -34.21% ROI
- Penguins are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 11.02% ROI
- Penguins are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units / -19.49% ROI
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Bruins are 10-5 (.667) this season — tied for 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 53-41 (.564) since the start of the 2025-26 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 43-36 (.544) last season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were winless (0-25) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Penguins are 5-10 (.333) this season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 77-99 (.438) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were winless (0-24) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 2-9 (.182) when allowing 5 or more rush chances this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .442
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 32% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Bruins scored on 19% of second chance opportunities in the 2024-25 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Bruins have scored on 28% of second chance opportunities this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have primary assisted on 59 goals in the first ten minutes of the game since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 63 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities in the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Penguins have 12.1 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have a .873 slot save percentage this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .824
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage in the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins have a .907 slot save percentage in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .837
The Bruins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations in the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins have allowed 1.4 goals per game while tied this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
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