Capitals vs Senators Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Nov 10

Jaxon Cover, right, stands with NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman after being drafted by the Ottawa Senators during the NHL hockey draft Friday, June 26, 2026, in Buffalo, N.Y. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)
  • The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Capitals
  • Capitals vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ | MNMT | RDS2 | TSN5

The Washington Capitals (9-6-0) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (11-6-1) on Nov. 10 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).

The Capitals vs. Senators Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Capitals vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Capitals+1.5 -2256.5 -120N/A
Senators-1.5 +1856.5 +100N/A

Capitals vs Senators Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Capitals vs Senators Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Capitals have covered the 2P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)

Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Capitals are 5-10 against the spread this NHL season (-5.2 Units / -27.66% ROI).

  • Capitals are 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units /8.1% ROI
  • Capitals are 10-3 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 41.57% ROI
  • Capitals are 3-10 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units /-48.5% ROI

Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Senators are 8-10 against the spread this NHL season (-1.45 Units /-5.32% ROI).

  • Senators are 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 12.44% ROI
  • Senators are 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -26.21% ROI
  • Senators are 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.75 Units / 19.18% ROI

Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Senators

The Capitals were 22-15-2 (.564) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508

The Capitals were 11-13-5 (.379) when tied after the first period last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Capitals were 3-22-3 (.107) when trailing after the second period last season — tied for 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .140

The Capitals were 29-13-3 (.644) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608

Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals

The Senators were 44-27-11 (.537) last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Senators were 15-1-3 (.789) when allowing 2 or less xG last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .690

The Senators were 32-3-1 (.889) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834

The Senators were 14-8-1 (.609) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .531

The Capitals had 5.96 expected goals in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Capitals had 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Capitals had 14 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Capitals had 6 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime last season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Senators had 23 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Senators had 12 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Senators scored 14 power play goals in the first ten minutes of the game last season — most among NHL Teams

The Senators had 29 high danger chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Capitals allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0

The Capitals allowed 5 goals in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Capitals allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Capitals had a .857 save percentage in 4v4 situations last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .910

The Senators allowed opponents to score on 22% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Senators allowed opponents to score on 28% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%

The Senators allowed 2.68 expected goals per game last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09

The Senators allowed 1.5 rush chances per game in the first period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.