- The Flyers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Flyers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM
The Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0) visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia Flyers (0-0) on Sep. 30 in Philadelphia, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Flyers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Penguins vs. Flyers Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Penguins vs. Flyers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -200 | 6 -105 | +120 |
| Flyers | -1.5 +165 | 6 -115 | -145 |
Penguins vs Flyers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Flyers will win this game with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Flyers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flyers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +200 |
| Porter Martone (PHI) | +200 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +220 |
| Owen Tippett (Phi) | +240 |
| Travis Konecny (Phi) | +240 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +250 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Penguins were winless (0-24) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 72-89 (.447) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 3-58 (.049) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .154
The Penguins are 15-30 (.333) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Flyers are 73-84 (.465) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers were 7-5 (.583) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .526
The Flyers were 2-22 (.083) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
The Flyers were 20-4 (.833) when leading after the first period last season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .732
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins had 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 58 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins had 27 inner slot shots in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins had 4 forecheck chances in overtime last season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have drawn 9 penalties in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers scored on 6% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Flyers have 6 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Flyers had 4 forecheck chances in overtime last season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers allowed 6 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have allowed 13 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Flyers have a .789 slot save percentage in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .833
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