- The Golden Knights are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SNPT | SCRI | ESPN+
The Pittsburgh Penguins (3-4-1) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-0) on Oct. 17 in Paradise, NV. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Golden Knights are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Penguins vs. Golden Knights Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Golden Knights Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 | +170 |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +110 | 6.5 -120 | -210 |
Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Golden Knights Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 4-4 against the spread this NHL season (-1.2 Units / -8.6% ROI).
- Penguins are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units /-28.27% ROI
- Penguins are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 17.3% ROI
- Penguins are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units /-25.15% ROI
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 4-5 against the spread this NHL season (+0.3 Units /3.24% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 21.81% ROI
- Golden Knights are 6-2 when betting the Over for +4.05 Units / 40.7% ROI
- Golden Knights are 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -46.31% ROI
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Penguins are 2-5 (.286) this season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were winless (0-24) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 16-31 (.340) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-27) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .163
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Golden Knights are 89-75 (.543) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 5-2 (.714) this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 1-26 (.037) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .163
The Golden Knights are 4-45 (.082) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .153
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 61 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 1,056 slot shots in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 16.1 slot shots per game since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Penguins have 34 inner slot shots in the second period this season — most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have 66 inner slot shots this season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have scored on 21% of rush chances this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Golden Knights have 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations in the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have a .794 slot save percentage in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .838
The Golden Knights have allowed 9 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 0.80 expected goals per game in the third period since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
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