Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Nov 7

(AP Photo/Geneva Heffernan)
  • The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Red Wings
  • Red Wings vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ | DSN | ALT

The Detroit Red Wings (7-7-3) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (9-6-2) on Nov. 7 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.

The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Red Wings vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Red Wings vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Red Wings+1.5 -1256.5 -115N/A
Avalanche-1.5 +1056.5 -105N/A

Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 67.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Red Wings vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 3P Puck Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+5.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Red Wings are 8-9 against the spread this NHL season (+1.1 Units / 5.16% ROI).

  • Red Wings are 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units /-16.59% ROI
  • Red Wings are 9-7 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 4.1% ROI
  • Red Wings are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units /-13.74% ROI

Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Avalanche are 10-7 against the spread this NHL season (+5.25 Units /25.3% ROI).

  • Avalanche are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -17.06% ROI
  • Avalanche are 12-5 when betting the Over for +6.35 Units / 34.05% ROI
  • Avalanche are 5-12 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -45.79% ROI

Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche

The Red Wings are 4-5 (.444) when winning the xG advantage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .734

The Red Wings are 7-10 (.412) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Red Wings are winless (0-5) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .156

The Red Wings are 2-35 (.054) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .135

Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings

The Avalanche are 62-34 (.646) since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 7-1 (.875) when scoring a power play goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .620

The Avalanche were 53-26 (.671) last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 9-2 (.818) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .738

The Red Wings have 0.2 rush chances per game in the first ten minutes of the game this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9

The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities in the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Red Wings have averaged 0.2 high danger chances per game while shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations in the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Avalanche have secondary assisted on 47 goals in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche have 1.4 rush chances per game in the first ten minutes of the game since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0

The Avalanche have recorded 1,145 shots in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche have 2.5 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Red Wings had a .826 save percentage against the power play in the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .854

The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded in the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832

The Red Wings have allowed 271 high danger chances this season — tied for 9th most among NHL Teams

The Red Wings allowed 815 cycle chances in the 2024-25 season — 9th most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Avalanche have a .714 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831

The Avalanche have allowed 17 goals while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.