- The Golden Knights are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Senators
- Senators vs. Golden Knights Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN+ | SCRI | RDSI | TSN5
The Ottawa Senators (8-4-0) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (8-4-1) on Oct. 27 in Paradise, NV. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Golden Knights are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Senators vs. Golden Knights Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Senators vs. Golden Knights Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Senators | +1.5 -175 | 6.5 -110 | +135 |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +145 | 6.5 -110 | -160 |
Senators vs Golden Knights Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 58.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Senators vs Golden Knights Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 5-7 against the spread this NHL season (-1.35 Units / -7.54% ROI).
- Senators are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units /19.87% ROI
- Senators are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -20.68% ROI
- Senators are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.65 Units /12.41% ROI
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 5-8 against the spread this NHL season (-1.6 Units /-12.08% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 5.13% ROI
- Golden Knights are 9-3 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 41.38% ROI
- Golden Knights are 3-9 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / -48.63% ROI
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Senators are 7-4 (.636) this season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 6-3 (.667) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .583
The Senators are 14-9 (.609) when tied after the second period since the start of the 2025-26 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 25-6 (.806) when allowing 2 or less xG since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .723
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Golden Knights are 90-78 (.536) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 1-29 (.033) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .161
The Golden Knights are 34-29 (.540) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2025-26 season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .655
The Golden Knights were 1-25 (.038) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have drawn 120 penalties in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have drawn 48 penalties this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have drawn 208 penalties in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators had 208 forecheck chances in the 2024-25 season — 9th most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have 6 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 963 slot shots in 5v5 situations in the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 1,213 slot shots in the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators had a .798 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
The Senators allowed opponents to score on 22% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Senators have allowed 1.3 rush chances per game in the third period since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Senators have allowed 0.87 expected goals per game in the third period since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed opponents to score on 29% of cycle chances against the power play this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Golden Knights allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have a .795 slot save percentage in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .838
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