Wild vs Sabres Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Oct 6

Buffalo Sabres fans celebrate during the third period in Game 1 of a first-round NHL hockey Stanley Cup playoff series against the Boston Bruins Sunday, April 19, 2026, in Buffalo, N.Y.
(AP Photo/Jeffrey T. Barnes)
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  • The Wild are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sabres
  • Wild vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: MWHN | MSGB | ESPN+

The Minnesota Wild (2-0) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (1-1) on Oct. 6 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Wild are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).

The Wild vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Wild vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Wild-1.5 +2006 -102-115
Sabres+1.5 -2506 -118-105

Wild vs Sabres Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Wild will win this game with 50.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Wild vs Sabres Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 69.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wild are 2-0 against the spread this NHL season (+2.9 Units / 145% ROI).

  • Wild are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units /56.34% ROI
  • Wild are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Wild are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units /80% ROI

Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sabres are 0-2 against the spread this NHL season (-2 Units /-100% ROI).

  • Sabres are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -2.9% ROI
  • Sabres are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
  • Sabres are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI

Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres

The Wild were 44-34 (.564) last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Wild are 88-71 (.553) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Wild were 17-9 (.654) when tied after the first period last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Wild were 23-16 (.590) when outshooting their opponents last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .523

Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Wild

The Sabres were 47-32 (.595) last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Sabres were 31-9 (.775) when having 3 or more xG. last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608

The Sabres were 26-2 (.929) when leading after the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .732

The Sabres were 39-25 (.609) when creating 5 or more rush chances last season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .539

The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams

The Wild had 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Wild had 5.4 rush chances per game in the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Wild have scored on 6% of second chance opportunities in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Sabres have scored on 24% of rush chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Sabres scored 91 goals in the first period in the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams

The Sabres drew 21 penalties in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Sabres had 526 rush chances last season — 9th most among NHL Teams

The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Wild allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances in the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Wild have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Sabres had a .667 slot save percentage in overtime last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .805

The Sabres allowed 237 forecheck chances in the 2024-25 season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Sabres have a .667 slot save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .792

The Sabres made 2,270 saves last season — 5th most among NHL Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.