Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction for their fixture at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Premier League Odds
Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction
Based on Chelsea’s defensive weakness and key attacking injuries for Saturday’s match, my Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction is the Bournemouth Spread (+0.5, +110).
Chelsea remains incapable of limiting prime scoring chances.
Xabi Alonso’s defense has allowed multiple goals in five straight matches. It has cost the team recently, as Chelsea dropped points in three straight matches.
Enough reason for concern exists by that fact alone. Compounding the worry for Chelsea is the team dropped points against Arsenal, Hull City and Brentford.
Even if you discount the Arsenal match – Chelsea closed as an underdog – the matches against Brentford and Hull offer massive concern.
Brentford used three second-half goals to win 3-0, creating 3.7 post-shot expected goals for the match. As a heavy home favorite against Hull, Chelsea drew 2-2 while allowing 1.4 psxG.
Their attack, which has run wildly lucky in recent matches, also must operate without key players. Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer appear set to miss Saturday’s match for an average unit.
In the last three matches, Chelsea scored three goals off 2.1 expected goals and 2.6 post-shot xG. For the season, the Blues scored 10 goals off 6.5 post-shot xG.
Bournemouth has yet to take all three points this season. However, I rate the Cherries as a better team than their goal differential suggests.
Marco Rose’s side, largely undone by blowing late leads, took three points from five matches. However, Bournemouth’s -2 goal differential is worse than their +1.4 psxGDiff.
The attack has scored six goals off 8.4 post-shot xG. Only once all season has Bournemouth finished under 1.5 post-shot expected goals.
It leads me to predict the Cherries, who drew Chelsea twice last year, will avoid defeat on Saturday.
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