Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Fulham vs Chelsea prediction.

Fulham vs Chelsea: Premier League Odds

Chelsea vs Fulham Prediction

Based on Chelsea’s consistently strong attacking metrics against Fulham and the Irons’ key losses this Summer, my Fulham vs Chelsea prediction is the Chelsea Moneyline (+110).

Despite a red card in the last meeting at Craven Cottage, Chelsea dominated both matches against Fulham.

As a -145 consensus favorite at home, Chelsea won 2-0 with dominant metrics. Expected goals finished 2.35-1.1 in Chelsea’s favor while post-shot xG rated the match a 3.2-0.1 result.

Even if you remove Chelsea’s penalty kick, it remains a 1.56-1.02 xG result and 2.4-0.1 post-shot xG, per FotMob.

The subsequent fixture at Craven Cottage proved more eventful. Fulham won 2-1 after a Chelsea red card on 22 minutes, but the match belonged to the visitors.

Chelsea finished the match with a 2.4-1.2 expected goals rating and a 1.93-1.76 post-shot xG advantage. Again, it came playing down a man for all but 22 minutes.

On 19 minutes, midfielder Andrey Santos missed a 0.83 xG chance that hit the crossbar. If he converts the opportunity, it creates an entirely different game state.

Now, Chelsea could see some positive regression against an inferior Fulham side. Marco Silva left the helm after last season with the club also losing key attacking pieces.

Raul Jimenez returned to Wolves after a spell with Fulham. Supersub Harry Wilson left for Leeds United. Both contributed to limited attacking success last season.

Only five teams produced fewer expected goals than Fulham last season. Of Fulham’s 49.58 expected goals over 38 matches, the aforementioned duo contributed 36%.

Jimenez himself accounted for 24% of Fulham’s total and finished as the only player north of seven expected goals.

With Chelsea’s questionable defense mitigated in this match, I predict Xabi Alonso’s side takes all three points on Matchday 1.