Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Man City vs Bournemouth prediction.
Man City vs Bournemouth: Premier League Odds
Bournemouth vs Man City Prediction
[Writer’s Note: Manchester City announced winger Jeremy Doku will likely miss Sunday’s match with an injury. Accordingly, confidence in the following prediction diminishes slightly].Â
Based on Bournemouth’s defensive results against strong attacks and the available market price, my Man City vs Bournemouth prediction is Manchester City Over 2.5 Goals (+110).
Pep Guardiola departed Manchester City this Summer, but he leaves behind an immensely talented attack. Last season, City led the Premier League in expected goals.
The Enzo Maresca era begins with a matchup against Bournemouth, helmed by new manager Marco Rose. The latter takes over a team with a high ceiling and an inconsistent defense.
Away from home, Bournemouth struggled to keep the best attacks at bay. Manchester City scored three against the Cherries at the Etihad off 2.2 expected goals.
Most impressively, the output came on short rest after a League Cup tie. When City scored once at the Vitality Stadium, it came only a few days after the FA Cup Final with a rotated squad.
Arsenal (second in xG) only managed a single tally at home. But it came without key winger Bukayo Saka and up-and-down winger Gabriel Martinelli.
Third-place Manchester United throttled Bournemouth for four goals at Old Trafford. Under a more conservative manager, the Red Devils amassed 3.2 xG and 3.4 post-shot xG.
Chelsea, Liverpool and Brentford all scored at least twice against Bournemouth. The latter two scored four goals apiece at home, without any spot kicks, to help boost the total.
More concerning for Rose is the defensive departures and injuries over the Summer.
Marcos Senesi left via a free transfer in favor of Tottenham. Midfielder Tyler Adams, a key cog in limiting opponent transitions, faces an uphill climb to start this fixture.
Adam essentially missed the aforementioned match against Manchester United. He sustained an injury five minutes into the fixture as the Red Devils scored four times at home.
The same happened against Brentford in their four-goal output against the Cherries. Accordingly, I predict City clears a lofty number at a higher rate than the odds suggest.
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