Newcastle (3-2-4) visits Fulham (2-3-4) on Nov. 7, 2026, at Craven Cottage. Kickoff is set for 10:00 a.m. ET (7:00 a.m. PT), with the game airing on USA Network.
Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Fulham vs Newcastle prediction for their Matchday 10 fixture.
Fulham vs Newcastle: Premier League Odds
Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction
Based on each team’s misleading record and Fulham’s recent defensive improvement, my Fulham vs Newcastle prediction is the Fulham Moneyline (+105).
Fulham is better than their record suggests. Newcastle is worse than their record suggests. It offers a promising sell-high spot on the visitors given how they’ve achieved their success.
Entering this fixture, Fulham sits on a -2 goal differential. However, it comes against a +1.7 expected goal differential and -1.1 post-shot expected goal differential.
Newcastle, excluding Monday’s match against Everton, sits on a -2 goal differential. It comes against a -3.7 expected goal differential and -5.1 post-shot xGDiff.
On Saturday at Aston Villa, Fulham completely dominated the match. Despite walking away with a 1-1 draw, the visitors won 2.2-1.7 on xG and 1.7-0.5 on post-shot xG.
Fulham has now taken points in five of their previous six EPL fixtures. It comes despite playing four of those six fixtures away from Craven Cottage.
Recently, we’ve seen the Fulham defense take a massive step forward. After averaging 1.57 post-shot xGA per 90 in its first three matches, the Irons improved to 0.87 in the last six.
Newcastle qualifies as a massive regression candidate in attack. The Magpies, excluding their Matchday 9 fixture, have scored 12 goals off nine expected goals and 8.6 post-shot xG.
For the visitors to take points, you have to think the attacking luck continues. This season, Newcastle lost every match where it scored under 1.5 goals.
Currently, the market is telling bettors Newcastle clearing that line is unlikely. As of this writing, Newcastle under 1.5 goals is priced at -190, or a 66% implied probability.
When these teams last met, Fulham captured a 2-0 home win with a +1.5 xGDiff and a +1.7 post-shot xGDiff.
Accordingly, I predict the hosts will experience some positive regression and take all three points.
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