Hull City vs Everton Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Hull City vs Everton prediction for their Sunday clash at the MKM Stadium.

Hull City vs Everton: Premier League Odds

Everton vs Hull City Prediction

Based on Hull City’s strong attacking record against Chelsea and Newcastle and Everton’s lackluster attacking metrics, my Hull City vs Everton prediction is Hull City +0.5 (-135).

Newcomers Hull dropped all three points for the first time on Matchday 5. Largely due to poor shot-stopping, the Tigers surrendered a 2-0 advantage inside seven minutes.

What remains true about this team is that they’ve recorded strong attacking metrics as a dog. In Hull’s last two games, the attack cleared 1.4 post-shot xG in both matches.

The same holds true as home underdogs on Matchday 1. Against a suspect Manchester United defense, Hull won 2-0 as a 1.5-goal dog, winning the post-shot xG battle 1.7-0.6.

Most encouraging is how the defense holds up from open play. Only Chelsea has cleared 1.5 post-shot xG entirely from open play against Hull’s defense.

While Newcastle reached 1.8 on Matchday 5, they did so with a second-half penalty kick worth 0.92 post-shot xG. Hull’s keeper saved the attempt to keep the scoreline 2-1 at full time.

Everton lacks the attacking prowess of teams like Chelsea, Manchester United and even Newcastle. After reaching 1.9 psxG on Matchday 1, Everton failed to clear 1.5 in four straight.

Conversely, the Everton defense arrives at Sunday’s fixture a potential negative regression candidate.

Through five matches, the defense conceded three goals off 6.8 xG and 4.8 post-shot xG. Given Hull’s demonstrated attacking ability, it could arrive for Everton on Sunday.

Those factors lead me to predict Hull takes at least a point as home underdogs.