Liverpool vs Man City Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Liverpool vs Man City prediction for their meeting at Anfield on Sunday.

Liverpool vs Man City: Premier League Odds

Man City vs Liverpool Prediction

Based on Manchester City’s combination of an elite attack and horrible defense, my Liverpool vs Man City prediction is the Total Over 2.5 Goals (-185). 

The silver lining with Manchester City? Even after Pep Guardiola exited this Summer, the attack continued to deliver strong metrics.

City cleared two post-shot expected goals in three of Enzo Maresca’s first five matches. Across the opening quintet, the current Premier League leaders averaged 1.96 xG and 1.94 psxG per 90 minutes.

Diminishing the average is a performance at Manchester United. However, City functioned with only 10 men for most of the match after Phil Foden received a red card.

On paper, Liverpool ranks amongst the best defenses in the league. Andoni Iraola’s unit surrendered only four goals through its first five matches.

However, the allowance comes against 5.9 expected goals and 4.9 post-shot xG. It renders Liverpool a negative regression candidate entering Sunday’s match.

What is optimistic from a Liverpool standpoint is the lack of quality in City’s defense.

City kept a clean sheet twice in five matches, one of which came against Coventry City. They too qualify as a massive regression candidate ahead of their Matchday 6 fixture.

Maresca’s defense surrendered five goals compared to 7.8 expected goals and 7.3 post-shot xG.

Most concerning is the last performance at home against Sunderland before the break. Against one of last year’s worst attacks, City allowed three goals off 4.2 xG and 3.2 post-shot xG.

Last year, both Liverpool-City fixtures cleared this benchmark. While it got there in controversial fashion at Afield, I still predict goals will flow coming out of the international break.