Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham prediction.
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham: Premier League Odds
Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Based on Tottenham’s presumed positive regression and the comparative ease for Forest’s defense, my Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham prediction is Under 2.5 Goals (-135).
Tottenham surrendered two goals to Newcastle on Matchday 2 after allowing three to Brentford. However, this fixture offers a potential buy-low consideration given their metrics.
Newcastle created only 0.72 expected goals and 0.69 post-shot xG at Tottenham. While the defense looked bad at Brentford, it came without key piece Micky van de Ven.
Based on last year’s data, Forest offers the easiest test for Tottenham thus far. Brentford and Newcastle ranked seventh and ninth, respectively, in expected goals last year.
Meanwhile, Forest finished 16th in the metric. Although the attack scored three goals in each of the two meetings against Tottenham, the record is a bit misleading.
Tottenham played both fixtures on short rest following midweek Champions League fixtures. Additionally, neither came against current Tottenham manager Roberto de Zerbi.
While Forest scored twice at Anfield as a decently-sized dog, one goal came via a penalty kick. Additionally, I have greater confidence in Tottenham’s defense than Liverpool’s at full strength.
That said, Tottenham’s attack finds itself fully in flux. Even if Spurs reach their ceiling potential, it’s going to take some time to achieve attacking prowess.
Through its opening two fixtures, Tottenham managed only 1.6 xG and 1.5 post-shot xG. Until James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski return, I question how this attack creates chances.
In the reverse fixture at the City Ground – when Tottenham had more time to prepare – the attack created only 0.4 xG and 0.5 post-shot xG.
Given those factors, I predict a low-scoring fixture on Saturday.
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