- Tottenham is predicted to be a 0.5-goal home underdog against Arsenal.
- Arsenal has won each of its last four EPL matches against Tottenham.
- My Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal 1H Over 0.5 Goals (-160).
After a shocking crumble to Wolves, Arsenal returns to London to face rivals Tottenham.Â
The current league leaders appeared well on their way to three points at Wolves. However, despite gaining a 2-0 advantage, Mikel Arteta’s side drew 2-2 with the 20th-placed team.Â
Tottenham enters Sunday’s match only five points clear of the relegation zone. After a 2-1 loss to Newcastle, Tottenham sacked Thomas Frank and appointed Igor Tudor.Â
Check out the Premier League odds and my Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction.Â
Tottenham vs Arsenal: Premier League Odds
Arsenal vs Tottenham: Prediction
Based on Tottenham’s recent defensive struggles and Arsenal’s offensive success against Spurs at home, my Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal 1H Over 0.5 Goals (-160).Â
Essentially, the only advantage Tottenham holds for Sunday’s match is the rest advantage. Not since February 10 have Spurs played a match, while Arsenal faces a short turnaround.Â
Aside from that potential speed bump, Arsenal should thrive early. Earlier this season, Arsenal scored twice inside 45 minutes against Tottenham off 1.65 post-shot expected goals.Â
Now the visitors get an injury-ravaged defense conceding chances early. Six straight opponents have cleared 0.5 goals in the first half against Tottenham.Â
That sample includes a match as home underdogs to Manchester City. Tottenham conceded twice in the first half against City off 1.26 post-shot xG, per fotmob.com.Â
What’s more concerning is Tottenham won’t have Cristian Romero (suspension) for Sunday’s match. Without him, they last played an up-and-down Newcastle attack.Â
Newcastle created 2.5 xG for the match, including 1.8 inside the first 45 minutes. The Magpies managed only a single tally, but Arsenal owns a superior attack for the season.Â
Including Wednesday’s match, Arsenal ranks second in EPL expected goals this season. Newcastle sits ninth in the league.Â
With Arsenal properly motivated for Sunday’s clash, I predict the favorites find an early tally against their rivals.Â
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