Below, bettors can find World Cup odds and an Argentina vs England prediction for their semifinal matchup in Atlanta.
Argentina vs England: World Cup Odds
England vs Argentina Prediction
Based on Argentina’s attacking metrics against Switzerland and England’s unlucky concession against Norway, my Argentina vs England prediction is Argentina 1H Under 0.5 Goals (-155).
In their most difficult match, Argentina created next to nothing early. The current World Cup holders created only 0.3 expected goals in the opening half against Switzerland.
Across all of the first 90 minutes plus injury time, Lionel Scaloni’s side created 0.8 expected goals. Even by post-shot xG, the attack managed only 1.01 with over 25 minutes at 11v10.
It marked the third straight match where the 2024 Copa America winners struggled against a strong defensive block.
Cape Verde held Argentina to 0.44 expected goals in the first half, despite allowing a goal.
Egypt kept the holders goalless, with Argentina reaching 0.77 non-penalty xG in the first 45 minutes. Lionel Messi’s missed penalty accounted for over 50% of Argentina’s 1H psxG.
Now they take on a stronger England defense than Switzerland. Although the Three Lions allowed a goal to Norway, it came on an extremely unlikely attempt.
Andreas Schjelderup scored in the 36th minute on what looked like an attempted cross. Either way, his 0.02 xG attempt found the top corner for a 0.43 psxG total.
Norway, a superior attack to Argentina, amassed only 0.35 post-shot xG in the first half against England. Thomas Tuchel likely benefits from a healthy Reece James for the semifinal.
Plus, although England has conceded five first-half goals in four meaningful matches, the metrics offer an alternative view.
Croatia scored twice off 0.4 xG and 0.2 post-shot xG. DR Congo scored a seventh-minute goal off a 0.08 xG attempt. At 2-0 up against Mexico, the Three Lions surrendered a set-piece goal.
Maybe it’s crazy to say, but I trust Mexico’s attack on home soil more than Argentina’s right now.
Given how England showed its defensive strength against Norway, I predict they will keep the holders goalless in the first half.
World’s Game Early Payout
If your team goes up by two goals in a World’s Game match, you win immediately!
Log in for more info.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
