- The Miami (OH) RedHawks are a -14.5 point favorite vs. the Bowling
- Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Bowling Green (0-4) visit Fred C. Yager Stadium to take on Miami Ohio (2-2) on Oct. 3 in Oxford, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Miami (OH) RedHawks are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (+105).
The Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | +14.5 -140 | 47.5 -200 | +450 |
| Miami Ohio | -14.5 +105 | 47.5 +145 | -600 |
Bowling Green vs Miami Ohio Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bowling and the Miami (OH) RedHawks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Bowling Green vs Miami Ohio Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Bowling Green Best Bets Today
- Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Miami Ohio Best Bets Today
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Bowling Green is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Bowling Green is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (OH) RedHawks is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio
Bowling Green was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Bowling Green is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .482
Bowling Green is 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Bowling Green is 4-10 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .463
Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Miami (OH) was 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio
Miami (OH) gained 2,622 yards on 183 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs gained 2,349 yards on 152 receptions (15.5 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs gained 2,349 yards on 152 receptions (15.5 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s RBs averaged 10.0 yards after the catch last season — 18th-best among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed just 4.5 RAC to RBs last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green has gained 5,392 yards on 489 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green TEs averaged 9.8 receptions per game (128/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Bowling Green TEs were targeted 176 times last season– most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green WRs have averaged just 5.4 receptions per game (81/15) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Bowling Green TEs were targeted 13.5 times per game (176/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Bowling Green WRs have no touchdowns on 2 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) have averaged 17.3 yards per completion (2,089 yards/121 completions) on 1st down since the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3
Miami (OH) have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (2,089 yards/121 catches) on 1st down since the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3
Miami (OH) QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Miami (OH) QBs have 13 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Miami (OH) have thrown 0 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.6
Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (37 completions/47 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Bowling Green sacked opposing QBs on 55% of pass attempts (6/11) last week– best in FBS; Average: 8%
Bowling Green sacked opposing QBs on 55% of pass attempts (6/11) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Bowling Green has allowed opponents to catch 37 of 45 passes (82% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 56%
Bowling Green has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 14 of their 154 carries (9%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%
Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.1 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Miami (OH) allowed 10 touchdowns on 268 completions (26.8 Completions Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Miami (OH) has allowed 7 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most in FBS
Miami (OH) has allowed 23 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Miami (OH) allowed 10 touchdowns on 268 completions (26.8 Completions Per TD) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 12.5
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