- The Arizona Wildcats are a -7 point favorite vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats
- Cincinnati vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Cincinnati (4-0) visit Casino Del Sol Stadium to take on Arizona (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00 pm.
The Arizona Wildcats are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Cincinnati vs. Arizona Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
Bet now on Arizona Wildcats vs Cincinnati Bearcats & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Cincinnati vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cincinnati | +7 -108 | 54.5 +100 | +230 |
| Arizona | -7 -110 | 54.5 -135 | -285 |
Cincinnati vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cincinnati Bearcats and the Arizona Wildcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Cincinnati vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Arizona Wildcats vs Cincinnati Bearcats and all games with BetMGM
Cincinnati Best Bets Today
- Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.48 Units / 3% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets Today
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati Bearcats is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 42.99% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 38.05% ROI
- Cincinnati is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.98 Units / 45.83% ROI
- Cincinnati is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -51.34% ROI
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona Wildcats is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arizona is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Arizona is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arizona is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Arizona was 2-4 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Arizona was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Arizona is 12-5 (.706) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. Arizona
Arizona’s TEs gained 335 yards on 38 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona had 29 receiving touchdowns last season — 5th-most among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs gained 2,198 yards on 151 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs gained 2,198 yards on 151 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Arizona’s defense allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati gained 3,006 yards on 225 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati WRs averaged 25.5 yards per reception (153 yards/6 catches) last week– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.7
Cincinnati WRs averaged 25.5 yards per reception (153 yards/6 catches) last week– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.6
Cincinnati have thrown 6.0 Passing TDs per Interception (36 passing TDs/6 interceptions) since the 2024 season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2
Cincinnati RBs averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Cincinnati TEs have averaged 24.7 yards per reception (173 yards/7 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Arizona’s TEs gained 335 yards on 38 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– most among Big 12 Teams
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 29 rushing attempts last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18%.
Cincinnati has tackled opponents for a loss on just 70 of 652 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Cincinnati did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 12.8
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.6
Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 3 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 37 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Arizona had 22 interceptions last season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Arizona has allowed just 8.4 yards per completion (828 yards/99 completions) on 1st down since the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11.7
Arizona opponents averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (36 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Bet now on Arizona Wildcats vs Cincinnati Bearcats and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
