Clemson vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

FILE - California quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (3) runs with the ball during the first half of an NCAA college football game against SMU, Nov. 29, 2025, in Berkeley, Calif. (AP Photo/Justine Willard, File)
(AP Photo/Justine Willard)
Week 8 Odds Boost
  • The Clemson Tigers are a -1 point favorite vs. the California Golden Bears
  • Clemson vs. California Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Clemson (2-1) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on California (2-1) on Sep. 25 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 pm.

The Clemson Tigers are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -1 (-108).

The Clemson vs. California Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on California Golden Bears vs Clemson Tigers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Clemson vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Clemson-1 -10850.5 -110-110
California +1 -11050.5 -108-108

Clemson vs California Prediction:

The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 50.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Clemson Tigers and the California Golden Bears, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Clemson vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on California Golden Bears vs Clemson Tigers and all games with BetMGM


  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 61% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • California has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson Tigers is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Clemson is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.9% ROI
  • Clemson is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Clemson is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California Golden Bears is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • California is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 30% ROI
  • California is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • California is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. California

Clemson was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632

California: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

California was 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

California is 4-1 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .636

California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Matchup Notes for Clemson vs. California

California’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 502 attempts last season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 502 attempts last season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.

California’s offense threw for 3,593 passing yards in 13 games (276.4 YPG) last season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 251.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Clemson’s offense threw for 3,481 passing yards in 13 games (267.8 YPG) last season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed just 205.2 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s WRs averaged 24.2 targets per game last season — T-23rd-highest among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Clemson’s TEs gained 510 yards on 51 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson have thrown 6 TDs on 48 pass attempts (one TD every 8.0 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Clemson RBs averaged 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (277 yards / 31 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Clemson Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (23 Rec/6 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Clemson threw 6 TDs on 48 pass attempts (one TD every 8.0 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Clemson WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.0 receptions (12 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 502 attempts last season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 502 attempts last season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.

California’s offense threw for 3,593 passing yards in 13 games (276.4 YPG) last season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 251.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

California’s QBs threw for 3,508 passing yards in 13 games (269.8 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense allowed 251.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

California’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 502 attempts last season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (2 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (2 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Clemson allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (2 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Clemson allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 30 of their 477 carries (6%) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Clemson allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (2 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

California Defensive Stats & Trends

California did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

California has not recorded a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

California has allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

California did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

California has allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most in FBS


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