Delaware vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

• The Virginia Cavaliers are a -19.5 point favorite vs. the Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens
• Delaware vs. Virginia Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: ACCN

Delaware (2-1) visit Scott Stadium to take on Virginia (2-1) on Sep. 26 in Charlottesville, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The Virginia Cavaliers are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-108).

The Delaware vs. Virginia Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Virginia Cavaliers vs Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Delaware vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Delaware vs Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens and the Virginia Cavaliers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Delaware vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 69.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Virginia Cavaliers vs Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens and all games with BetMGM

Delaware Best Bets Today

• Delaware has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• Delaware has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Delaware has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Delaware has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Delaware have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Virginia Best Bets Today

• Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
• Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 1% ROI)
• Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)

Delaware Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Delaware is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.32% ROI
• Delaware is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.18 Units / -35.98% ROI
• Delaware is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.11% ROI

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Cavaliers is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Virginia is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -52.54% ROI
• Virginia is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Virginia is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Delaware: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia

Delaware is 6-4 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404

Delaware is 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble this season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .580

Delaware is 6-4 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .436

Delaware is 5-1 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Delaware

Virginia was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Virginia was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Virginia was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Matchup Notes for Delaware vs. Virginia

Virginia’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s WRs has 242 receptions in 17 games (14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia has 363 receptions in 17 games (21.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS skill players. Delaware’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s offense threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Delaware’s QBs threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s offense threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Delaware Offensive Stats & Trends

Delaware QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Delaware’s offense threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Delaware’s QBs threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s offense threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s QBs threw for 3,802 passing yards in 13 games (292.5 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Virginia RBs have carried the ball 86 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (56 yards/12 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9

Delaware Defensive Stats & Trends

Delaware has allowed 245.6 Passing Yards per game (3,193/13) this season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 217.1

Delaware has not allowed a passing touchdown in any of their last 29 drives — the Iowa Hawkeyes have the longest active streak at 62.

Delaware has allowed less than 300 passing yards in each of their last 6 games — the South Carolina Gamecocks have the longest active streak at 28.

Delaware has averaged a sack every 7.8 pass attempts (39 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: 16.2

Delaware has allowed 32.1 receiving yards per game (417/13) to RBs this season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 25.1

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 15% (2 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Virginia allowed a Completion Pct of just 15% (2 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Virginia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 15% (2 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Virginia allowed a Completion Pct of just 15% (2 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Virginia had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

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