Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are a -5 point favorite vs. the Florida Atlantic Owls
• Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 70.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Florida Atlantic (6-3) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on Tulsa (5-4) on Nov. 14 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -5 (-120).

The Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 70.5 total points.

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Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulsa will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida Atlantic Owls and the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Florida Atlantic Best Bets Today

• Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Tulsa Best Bets Today

• Tulsa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.75 Units / 2% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic Owls is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Florida Atlantic is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 26.51% ROI
• Florida Atlantic is 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
• Florida Atlantic is 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa Golden Hurricane is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.62 Units / 6.2% ROI).

• Tulsa is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 23.19% ROI
• Tulsa is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI
• Tulsa is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372

Florida Atlantic was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Florida Atlantic was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Tulsa was winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Tulsa was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Tulsa is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .371

Tulsa is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390

Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa

Tulsa’s RBs averaged 6.2 targets per game last season — T-16th-highest among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 4.7 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 9,446 passing yards in 33 games (286.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 245.3 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 24.1 receptions per game (507/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged 30.4 receptions per game (638/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Florida Atlantic have averaged 30.4 receptions per game (639/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1

Florida Atlantic threw for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

Florida Atlantic averaged 32.1 receptions per game (385/12) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa WRs were targeted 7 times in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs had 4 receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa RBs had 62 receiving yards on 1st down last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa have been sacked just once on 85 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.4

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Florida Atlantic has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 25 of their 365 carries (7%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Florida Atlantic allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Florida Atlantic intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Florida Atlantic intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.8

Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most in FBS

Tulsa did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Tulsa allowed 2,272 Passing Yards in the 1st half last season– most in FBS

Tulsa allowed 316.0 Passing Yards per game (3,792/12) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 219.2

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