Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

• The Florida Atlantic Owls are a -13.5 point favorite vs. the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
• Florida Atlantic vs. UL Monroe Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Florida Atlantic (2-1) visit Malone Stadium to take on UL Monroe (0-3) on Sep. 26 in Monroe, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The Florida Atlantic Owls are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Florida Atlantic vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Florida Atlantic vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this game with 73.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida Atlantic Owls and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UL Monroe will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Florida Atlantic Owls and all games with BetMGM

Florida Atlantic Best Bets Today

• Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)

UL Monroe Best Bets Today

• UL Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• UL Monroe has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• UL Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.80 Units / 6% ROI)
• UL Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic Owls is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Florida Atlantic is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 41.25% ROI
• Florida Atlantic is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Florida Atlantic is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• UL Monroe is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -100% ROI
• UL Monroe is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• UL Monroe is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-9) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. UL Monroe

Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 2,402 passing yards in 15 games (just 160.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 238.3 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 2,452 passing yards in 15 games (just 163.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 238.3 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s WRs had 108 receptions in 12 games (just 9.0 per game) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s offense averaged 2.3 passing TDs per game last season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 1.8 passing TDs per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has rushed for 1,443 yards on 348 carries (just 4.1 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic had 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged 32.0 receptions per game (384/12) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 24.2 receptions per game (290/12) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Florida Atlantic WRs averaged 24.2 receptions per game (290/12) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged 16.2 receptions per game (194/12) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.7

Florida Atlantic have averaged 32.1 receptions per game (385/12) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 18.8 yards per reception (339 yards/18 catches) with over 10 yards to go last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Louisiana-Monroe averaged 134.8 Passing Yards per game (1,617/12) last season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 21.0 yards per reception (231 yards/11 catches) in close and late situations last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic has intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Florida Atlantic has intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.8

Florida Atlantic intercepted 3 of 370 attempts (123.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Florida Atlantic allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Florida Atlantic has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

UL Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (15 completions/37 attempts) in close and late situations last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%

Louisiana-Monroe tackled opponents for a loss on just 66 of 494 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana-Monroe has tackled opponents for a loss on just 60 of 455 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) this season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Louisiana-Monroe tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 35 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (20 completions/33 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 35th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

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