- The Florida Gators are a -3 point favorite vs. the Auburn Tigers
- Florida vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Florida (2-0) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on Auburn (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Florida Gators are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3 (+100).
The Florida vs. Auburn Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Florida vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | -3 +100 | 53.5 -110 | -135 |
| Auburn | +3 -130 | 53.5 -108 | +115 |
Florida vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida Gators and the Auburn Tigers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Best Bets Today
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Auburn Best Bets Today
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Gators is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Florida is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.45% ROI
- Florida is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Florida is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn Tigers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- Auburn is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.88% ROI
- Auburn is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
- Auburn is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Florida was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Florida is 6-12 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487
Florida is 3-9 (.250) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .467
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Auburn
Auburn had 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-5th-fewest among Power 5 skill players. Florida’s defense allowed 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-2nd-fewest among P5 defenses.
Auburn had just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among SEC skill players. Florida’s defense allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch last season — T-4th-worst among SEC skill players. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch last season — T-worst among SEC skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 RAC last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch last season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 RAC last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs had 148 receptions in 12 games (just 12.3 per game) last season — 4th-worst among SEC WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed 19.8 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida RBs averaged 17.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (89 yards / 5 touches) on 2nd down last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.9
Florida Skill Players averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (251 yards/30 catches) on 3rd and long last season– T-5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Florida averaged just 8.4 yards per completion (361 yards/43 completions) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7
Florida Skill Players averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (251 yards/30 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Florida RBs rushed for 11 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn TEs had no touchdowns on 26 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Auburn WRs averaged just 7.5 receptions per game (98/13) in the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1
Auburn TEs averaged just 2.2 receptions per game (26/12) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8
Auburn TEs were targeted 12 times on 1st down last season– fewest among SEC Teams
Auburn threw 4 interceptions on 360 attempts (1 INT per 90.0 attempts) last season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 40.1
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida defense allowed 55 completions for 20 or more yards last season– most in the SEC
Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 18%
Auburn allowed first downs on 15% of rush attempts last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23%
Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (199 completions/354 attempts) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 60%
Auburn allowed 95.7 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 140.7
Auburn allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 16%
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