Florida vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

• The Texas Longhorns are a -9.5 point favorite vs. the Florida Gators
• Florida vs. Texas Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC

Florida (4-2) visit Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium to take on Texas (4-1) on Oct. 17 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Texas Longhorns are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-140).

The Florida vs. Texas Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Florida vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Florida vs Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 69.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida Gators and the Texas Longhorns, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 64.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators and all games with BetMGM

Florida Best Bets Today

• Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 1% ROI)
• Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.33 Units / 24% ROI)
• Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.89 Units / 14% ROI)
• Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Texas Best Bets Today

• Texas has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 7% ROI)
• Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
• Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Gators is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.53% ROI).

• Florida is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -9.08% ROI
• Florida is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.07% ROI
• Florida is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Longhorns is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.45 Units / -61.94% ROI).

• Texas is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.52% ROI
• Texas is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.01% ROI
• Texas is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 17.76% ROI

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Florida is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .626

Florida is 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504

Florida is 2-7 (.222) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Florida is 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: .433

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

Texas is 15-1 (.938) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .600

Texas was 10-2 (.833) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Texas is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702

Texas was 10-3 (.769) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Texas

Texas’s WRs gained 2,501 yards on 172 receptions (14.5 YPR) last season — 26th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas’s WRs gained 2,501 yards on 172 receptions (14.5 YPR) last season — 26th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 RAC last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida gained 2,455 yards on 234 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Florida gained 2,455 yards on 234 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida gained 2,455 yards on 234 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-worst among SEC skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Florida WRs had 10 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Florida WRs had 10 receptions in close and late situations last week– most among FBS Teams

Florida RBs have rushed for 15 TDs this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida WRs were targeted 13 times in close and late situations last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas QBs had 25 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

Texas TEs have no touchdowns on 13 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 8.6

Texas Skill Players had 80 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– most among FBS Teams

Texas’s WRs gained 2,501 yards on 172 receptions (14.5 YPR) last season — 26th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas Skill Players caught 40 touchdown passes last season– most among SEC Teams

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida had no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed last week– T-3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1.4

Florida allowed 4 TD passes last week– most in the SEC

Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (16 completions/20 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 60%

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.5

Texas allowed 9 touchdowns on 292 completions (32.4 Completions Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Texas opponents has averaged 71.0 Passing Attempts per TD (142 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.4

Bet now on Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!