Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

• The Georgia Southern Eagles are a -1.5 point favorite vs. the Coastal Carolina
• Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Georgia Southern (1-3) visit Brooks Stadium to take on Coastal Carolina (1-3) on Oct. 3 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Georgia Southern Eagles are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Georgia Southern Eagles and the Coastal Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Georgia Southern Best Bets Today

• Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.70 Units / 64% ROI)
• Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Coastal Carolina Best Bets Today

• Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
• Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Coastal Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern Eagles is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

• Georgia Southern is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -4.17% ROI
• Georgia Southern is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Georgia Southern is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Coastal Carolina is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
• Coastal Carolina is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Coastal Carolina is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Georgia Southern was 8-3 (.727) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Georgia Southern was 8-3 (.727) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when not losing a fumble last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Georgia Southern was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Coastal Carolina was 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Coastal Carolina is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .564

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina’s QBs threw for 2,046 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.4 YPG) last season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 238.8 passing yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s offense threw for 2,204 passing yards in 13 games (just 169.5 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 238.8 passing yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 5,534 passing yards in 29 games (just 190.8 YPG) since the 2024 season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 240.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs averaged 25.5 targets per game last season — T-14th-highest among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs had 205 receptions in 13 games (15.8 per game) last season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs had 204.3 receiving yards per game last season — 21st-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed 184.6 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern WRs have been targeted 37 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern WRs have averaged 19.0 receptions per game (76/4) this season– T-8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Georgia Southern Skill Players have been targeted 52 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Skill Players averaged 28.9 receptions per game (376/13) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Georgia Southern Skill Players have no touchdowns on 22 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina TEs have caught just 1 of 6 passes (17% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 64%

Coastal Carolina Skill Players averaged just 13.6 receptions per game (177/13) last season– T-12th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have averaged 18.4 yards per reception (258 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 10th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Coastal Carolina QBs rushed for 46 yards in the 1st quarter last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Coastal Carolina WRs averaged just 9.5 receptions per game (123/13) last season– T-23rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Georgia Southern allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 102 of 499 carries (20%) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%

Georgia Southern averaged a sack every 34.5 pass attempts (414 Pass Attempts/12 Sacks) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Georgia Southern has averaged a sack every 26.1 pass attempts (522 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5

Georgia Southern averaged a sack every 34.5 pass attempts (414 Pass Attempts/12 Sacks) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2

Coastal Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.4

Coastal Carolina has forced 8 fumbles this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Coastal Carolina has forced 24 fumbles since the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.4

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