- The Houston Cougars are a -10.5 point favorite vs. the Colorado Buffaloes
- Houston vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Houston (7-2) visit Folsom Field to take on Colorado (3-6) on Nov. 13 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 pm.
The Houston Cougars are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The Houston vs. Colorado Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Houston vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Houston | -10.5 -105 | 49.5 +105 | -375 |
| Colorado | +10.5 -125 | 49.5 -135 | +310 |
Houston vs Colorado Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Houston Cougars and the Colorado Buffaloes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Houston vs Colorado Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Houston Best Bets Today
- Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+6.72 Units / 66% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.75 Units / 62% ROI)
Colorado Best Bets Today
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston Cougars is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.55% ROI).
- Houston is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 11.68% ROI
- Houston is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI
- Houston is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado Buffaloes is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI).
- Colorado is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -35.29% ROI
- Colorado is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
- Colorado is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado
Houston is 14-1 (.933) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .587
Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Houston is 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .603
Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Colorado is winless (0-11) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Colorado is 2-14 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .506
Colorado is 6-13 (.316) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677
Colorado is winless (0-11) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451
Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Colorado
Colorado’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch last season — T-18th-worst among FBS RBs. Houston’s defense allowed 10.1 RAC to RBs last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s TEs had just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among P5 TEs. Houston’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s RBs has rushed for 2,931 yards on 658 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Houston’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.0 receptions (180 Rec/9 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0
Houston threw 4 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Houston have thrown 7 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.7
Houston has scored on 36% of their drives (15/42) in the 3rd quarter this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 21%
Houston’s WRs gained 1,623 yards on 111 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Colorado TEs averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Colorado Skill Players have averaged 25.4 yards per reception (178 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.6
Houston Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 17.3
Houston opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (47 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Houston has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.4
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 22%
Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 56%
Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 48 carries (12 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.4
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 48 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Colorado averaged 3.0 sacks per game last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Colorado has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 48 carries (12 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1
Colorado sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (39/391) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%
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