- The Syracuse Orange are a -3 point favorite vs. the North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Syracuse vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
Syracuse (4-5) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on North Carolina State (4-5) on Nov. 14 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Syracuse Orange are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Syracuse vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Syracuse vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Syracuse | -3 -105 | 56.5 -155 | -140 |
| North Carolina State | +3 -125 | 56.5 +115 | +115 |
Syracuse vs North Carolina State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Syracuse will win this game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Syracuse Orange and the North Carolina State Wolfpack, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Syracuse vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Syracuse will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Syracuse Best Bets Today
- Syracuse have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Syracuse has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 3% ROI)
- Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Syracuse has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
North Carolina State Best Bets Today
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.39 Units / 17% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Syracuse Orange is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Syracuse is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 5.31% ROI
- Syracuse is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Syracuse is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina State Wolfpack is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.51 Units / -35.71% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -3.1% ROI
- North Carolina State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.62 Units / 6.28% ROI
- North Carolina State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.12% ROI
Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
Syracuse is 1-7 (.125) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .524
Syracuse is 2-10 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Syracuse is 7-12 (.368) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677
Syracuse was 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .575
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse
North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
NC State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .674
NC State is 5-9 (.357) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .484
Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. North Carolina State
NC State’s WRs had just 166.9 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 receiving yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
NC State’s TEs had 64 receptions in 13 games (4.9 per game) last season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Syracuse’s defense allowed 21.6 receptions per game last season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
NC State’s WRs averaged 13.6 yards after the catch last season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs last season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Syracuse has 821 receptions in 34 games (24.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 7th-best among FBS skill players. NC State’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Syracuse’s WRs has 511 receptions in 34 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. NC State’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Syracuse’s WRs had just 153.4 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. NC State’s defense allowed 273.2 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends
Syracuse QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6
Syracuse TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Syracuse TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
North Carolina State Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams
NC State did not score on any of their 6 drives in the 2nd half last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 26%
North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Syracuse Defensive Stats & Trends
Syracuse has allowed 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (540 yards / 57 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0
Syracuse has allowed 9.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (242 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0
Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 56%
Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Syracuse has allowed 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (540 yards / 57 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.1
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends
NC State has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
NC State has averaged a sack every 22.9 pass attempts (757 Pass Attempts/33 Sacks) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
NC State has allowed first downs on 42% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%
NC State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (33/757) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
NC State has allowed first downs on 42% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%
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